Recent meteorological guidance for Panama City points to peak temperatures near 32–33°C on August 12 as the most likely outcome, aligning with trader consensus on those bins. Seasonal norms during the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and cloud cover that cap daytime maxima, while AccuWeather’s extended outlook shows August highs averaging 32°C with a range of roughly 30–35°C. No significant heat anomaly or clear-sky subsidence is indicated in the latest regional model runs, keeping probabilities for 34°C+ modest and those below 31°C low. Updated forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá and global ensembles tomorrow morning will provide the key data for any late shifts in implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 12?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 12?
33°C 39%
32°C 25%
34°C 18%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
13%
32°C
25%
33°C
39%
34°C
18%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 39%
32°C 25%
34°C 18%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
$183 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$130 Vol.
1%
30°C
$19 Vol.
2%
31°C
$388 Vol.
13%
32°C
$726 Vol.
25%
33°C
$449 Vol.
39%
34°C
$1,469 Vol.
18%
35°C
$5 Vol.
4%
36°C or higher
$252 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance for Panama City points to peak temperatures near 32–33°C on August 12 as the most likely outcome, aligning with trader consensus on those bins. Seasonal norms during the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and cloud cover that cap daytime maxima, while AccuWeather’s extended outlook shows August highs averaging 32°C with a range of roughly 30–35°C. No significant heat anomaly or clear-sky subsidence is indicated in the latest regional model runs, keeping probabilities for 34°C+ modest and those below 31°C low. Updated forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá and global ensembles tomorrow morning will provide the key data for any late shifts in implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$3,601End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance for Panama City points to peak temperatures near 32–33°C on August 12 as the most likely outcome, aligning with trader consensus on those bins. Seasonal norms during the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and cloud cover that cap daytime maxima, while AccuWeather’s extended outlook shows August highs averaging 32°C with a range of roughly 30–35°C. No significant heat anomaly or clear-sky subsidence is indicated in the latest regional model runs, keeping probabilities for 34°C+ modest and those below 31°C low. Updated forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá and global ensembles tomorrow morning will provide the key data for any late shifts in implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,601End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological guidance for Panama City points to peak temperatures near 32–33°C on August 12 as the most likely outcome, aligning with trader consensus on those bins. Seasonal norms during the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and cloud cover that cap daytime maxima, while AccuWeather’s extended outlook shows August highs averaging 32°C with a range of roughly 30–35°C. No significant heat anomaly or clear-sky subsidence is indicated in the latest regional model runs, keeping probabilities for 34°C+ modest and those below 31°C low. Updated forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá and global ensembles tomorrow morning will provide the key data for any late shifts in implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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