Recent short-term forecasts from regional models indicate a peak temperature of 34°C in Panama City on August 11 under typical wet-season conditions with moderate cloud cover and humidity. Historical August climatology shows average daily highs of 30–32°C, with occasional peaks to 35°C during clearer periods, positioning 34°C as the most probable outcome while allowing for minor variability from convective rainfall or enhanced solar heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 45% implied probability for 34°C and 28.5% for 35°C, aligns with these model runs and the low likelihood of extremes given stable atmospheric patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the peak heating window could refine these odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 11?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 11?
34°C 48%
35°C 29%
33°C 20%
32°C 2.9%
NEW
$16,033 Vol.
NEW
$16,033 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
20%
34°C
48%
35°C
29%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 48%
35°C 29%
33°C 20%
32°C 2.9%
NEW
$16,033 Vol.
NEW
$16,033 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
28°C or below
$260 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$304 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$462 Vol.
1%
31°C
$526 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,049 Vol.
3%
33°C
$853 Vol.
20%
34°C
$1,510 Vol.
48%
35°C
$2,055 Vol.
29%
36°C
$5,675 Vol.
1%
37°C
$354 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$2,986 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from regional models indicate a peak temperature of 34°C in Panama City on August 11 under typical wet-season conditions with moderate cloud cover and humidity. Historical August climatology shows average daily highs of 30–32°C, with occasional peaks to 35°C during clearer periods, positioning 34°C as the most probable outcome while allowing for minor variability from convective rainfall or enhanced solar heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 45% implied probability for 34°C and 28.5% for 35°C, aligns with these model runs and the low likelihood of extremes given stable atmospheric patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the peak heating window could refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Volume
$16,033End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from regional models indicate a peak temperature of 34°C in Panama City on August 11 under typical wet-season conditions with moderate cloud cover and humidity. Historical August climatology shows average daily highs of 30–32°C, with occasional peaks to 35°C during clearer periods, positioning 34°C as the most probable outcome while allowing for minor variability from convective rainfall or enhanced solar heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 45% implied probability for 34°C and 28.5% for 35°C, aligns with these model runs and the low likelihood of extremes given stable atmospheric patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the peak heating window could refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,033End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from regional models indicate a peak temperature of 34°C in Panama City on August 11 under typical wet-season conditions with moderate cloud cover and humidity. Historical August climatology shows average daily highs of 30–32°C, with occasional peaks to 35°C during clearer periods, positioning 34°C as the most probable outcome while allowing for minor variability from convective rainfall or enhanced solar heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 45% implied probability for 34°C and 28.5% for 35°C, aligns with these model runs and the low likelihood of extremes given stable atmospheric patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the peak heating window could refine these odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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