Current forecasts from Singapore's meteorological authorities indicate a daily maximum of 28°C on May 16, supported by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the inter-monsoon season that reduce incoming solar radiation and limit surface heating. This stable tropical regime produces narrow diurnal temperature ranges near the equator, with ensemble model guidance showing high consistency in suppressing peaks below historical May averages around 31°C. Traders have priced the outcome at essentially 100 percent probability because official observations at primary stations like Changi will almost certainly align with these projections. Clearer skies or delayed rainfall would be required to push readings to 29°C or higher, an outcome models currently assign very low likelihood.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on May 16?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 16?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$96,857 Vol.
$96,857 Vol.
May 16, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$96,857 Vol.
$96,857 Vol.
May 16, 2026
22°C or below
$8,466 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,375 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,019 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,804 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,757 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,991 Vol.
No
28°C
$19,182 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$13,070 Vol.
No
30°C
$10,238 Vol.
No
31°C
$12,607 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$14,347 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Singapore's meteorological authorities indicate a daily maximum of 28°C on May 16, supported by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the inter-monsoon season that reduce incoming solar radiation and limit surface heating. This stable tropical regime produces narrow diurnal temperature ranges near the equator, with ensemble model guidance showing high consistency in suppressing peaks below historical May averages around 31°C. Traders have priced the outcome at essentially 100 percent probability because official observations at primary stations like Changi will almost certainly align with these projections. Clearer skies or delayed rainfall would be required to push readings to 29°C or higher, an outcome models currently assign very low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$96,857End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Singapore's meteorological authorities indicate a daily maximum of 28°C on May 16, supported by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the inter-monsoon season that reduce incoming solar radiation and limit surface heating. This stable tropical regime produces narrow diurnal temperature ranges near the equator, with ensemble model guidance showing high consistency in suppressing peaks below historical May averages around 31°C. Traders have priced the outcome at essentially 100 percent probability because official observations at primary stations like Changi will almost certainly align with these projections. Clearer skies or delayed rainfall would be required to push readings to 29°C or higher, an outcome models currently assign very low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$96,857End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from Singapore's meteorological authorities indicate a daily maximum of 28°C on May 16, supported by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the inter-monsoon season that reduce incoming solar radiation and limit surface heating. This stable tropical regime produces narrow diurnal temperature ranges near the equator, with ensemble model guidance showing high consistency in suppressing peaks below historical May averages around 31°C. Traders have priced the outcome at essentially 100 percent probability because official observations at primary stations like Changi will almost certainly align with these projections. Clearer skies or delayed rainfall would be required to push readings to 29°C or higher, an outcome models currently assign very low likelihood.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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