Current meteorological models show moderate uncertainty in Taipei’s maximum temperature for May 18, with the market-implied odds placing the highest probability on 32 °C and substantial support for outcomes between 30 °C and 33 °C. Late-spring conditions in northern Taiwan are shaped by the transition from the northeast monsoon to the southwest monsoon, bringing generally warm, humid air masses that produce typical daily highs near 30 °C; however, variations in cloud cover, local sea-breeze circulation, and any weak frontal passage can alter peak readings by 2–3 °C. The wide distribution across lower and higher thresholds reflects this inherent short-term forecast variability, as new model runs and observational data from regional agencies will refine the expected range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on May 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 18?
32°C 33%
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
30°C 16%
NEW
$11,048 Vol.
NEW
$11,048 Vol.
May 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
16%
31°C
21%
32°C
33%
33°C
20%
34°C or higher
9%
32°C 33%
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
30°C 16%
NEW
$11,048 Vol.
NEW
$11,048 Vol.
May 18, 2026
24°C or below
$908 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$879 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$985 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,581 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,159 Vol.
1%
29°C
$706 Vol.
5%
30°C
$722 Vol.
16%
31°C
$897 Vol.
21%
32°C
$754 Vol.
33%
33°C
$891 Vol.
20%
34°C or higher
$1,682 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological models show moderate uncertainty in Taipei’s maximum temperature for May 18, with the market-implied odds placing the highest probability on 32 °C and substantial support for outcomes between 30 °C and 33 °C. Late-spring conditions in northern Taiwan are shaped by the transition from the northeast monsoon to the southwest monsoon, bringing generally warm, humid air masses that produce typical daily highs near 30 °C; however, variations in cloud cover, local sea-breeze circulation, and any weak frontal passage can alter peak readings by 2–3 °C. The wide distribution across lower and higher thresholds reflects this inherent short-term forecast variability, as new model runs and observational data from regional agencies will refine the expected range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$11,048End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological models show moderate uncertainty in Taipei’s maximum temperature for May 18, with the market-implied odds placing the highest probability on 32 °C and substantial support for outcomes between 30 °C and 33 °C. Late-spring conditions in northern Taiwan are shaped by the transition from the northeast monsoon to the southwest monsoon, bringing generally warm, humid air masses that produce typical daily highs near 30 °C; however, variations in cloud cover, local sea-breeze circulation, and any weak frontal passage can alter peak readings by 2–3 °C. The wide distribution across lower and higher thresholds reflects this inherent short-term forecast variability, as new model runs and observational data from regional agencies will refine the expected range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,048End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSCurrent meteorological models show moderate uncertainty in Taipei’s maximum temperature for May 18, with the market-implied odds placing the highest probability on 32 °C and substantial support for outcomes between 30 °C and 33 °C. Late-spring conditions in northern Taiwan are shaped by the transition from the northeast monsoon to the southwest monsoon, bringing generally warm, humid air masses that produce typical daily highs near 30 °C; however, variations in cloud cover, local sea-breeze circulation, and any weak frontal passage can alter peak readings by 2–3 °C. The wide distribution across lower and higher thresholds reflects this inherent short-term forecast variability, as new model runs and observational data from regional agencies will refine the expected range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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