Recent meteorological model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan on May 19 most likely between 24°C and 26°C, driven by moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover that could limit daytime heating. Scattered showers expected in the morning may suppress peak values toward the lower end of that range, while clearer afternoon conditions under a weakening high-pressure influence could push readings to 26°C or above. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26°C, yet short-term ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to precise timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model update cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 19?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 19?
26°C or higher 25%
24°C 22%
25°C 20%
23°C 10%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
22%
25°C
25%
26°C or higher
25%
26°C or higher 25%
24°C 22%
25°C 20%
23°C 10%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
16°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$5 Vol.
1%
18°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$384 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$55 Vol.
1%
21°C
$177 Vol.
2%
22°C
$75 Vol.
5%
23°C
$10 Vol.
10%
24°C
$40 Vol.
22%
25°C
$41 Vol.
25%
26°C or higher
$45 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan on May 19 most likely between 24°C and 26°C, driven by moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover that could limit daytime heating. Scattered showers expected in the morning may suppress peak values toward the lower end of that range, while clearer afternoon conditions under a weakening high-pressure influence could push readings to 26°C or above. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26°C, yet short-term ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to precise timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$912End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan on May 19 most likely between 24°C and 26°C, driven by moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover that could limit daytime heating. Scattered showers expected in the morning may suppress peak values toward the lower end of that range, while clearer afternoon conditions under a weakening high-pressure influence could push readings to 26°C or above. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26°C, yet short-term ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to precise timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$912End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHRecent meteorological model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan on May 19 most likely between 24°C and 26°C, driven by moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover that could limit daytime heating. Scattered showers expected in the morning may suppress peak values toward the lower end of that range, while clearer afternoon conditions under a weakening high-pressure influence could push readings to 26°C or above. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26°C, yet short-term ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to precise timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model update cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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