Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models show Beijing's May 19 afternoon maximum likely reaching 25–27 °C, reflecting typical late-spring conditions with moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Slight differences among outcomes hinge on model spread regarding peak solar heating, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin high-cloud layers that could trim temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical May maxima average near 26 °C, providing a baseline traders weigh against the latest deterministic and ensemble runs. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and revised model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the tightest probabilities around the 26 °C and 27 °C thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on May 19?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 19?
26°C 32%
27°C 28%
25°C 19%
24°C 11%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
19%
26°C
32%
27°C
28%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 32%
27°C 28%
25°C 19%
24°C 11%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
21°C or below
$2,126 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,114 Vol.
1%
23°C
$321 Vol.
4%
24°C
$567 Vol.
11%
25°C
$132 Vol.
19%
26°C
$48 Vol.
32%
27°C
$246 Vol.
28%
28°C
$28 Vol.
7%
29°C
$94 Vol.
4%
30°C
$43 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$92 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models show Beijing's May 19 afternoon maximum likely reaching 25–27 °C, reflecting typical late-spring conditions with moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Slight differences among outcomes hinge on model spread regarding peak solar heating, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin high-cloud layers that could trim temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical May maxima average near 26 °C, providing a baseline traders weigh against the latest deterministic and ensemble runs. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and revised model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the tightest probabilities around the 26 °C and 27 °C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$4,692End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models show Beijing's May 19 afternoon maximum likely reaching 25–27 °C, reflecting typical late-spring conditions with moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Slight differences among outcomes hinge on model spread regarding peak solar heating, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin high-cloud layers that could trim temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical May maxima average near 26 °C, providing a baseline traders weigh against the latest deterministic and ensemble runs. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and revised model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the tightest probabilities around the 26 °C and 27 °C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,692End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAARecent short-range forecasts from global and regional models show Beijing's May 19 afternoon maximum likely reaching 25–27 °C, reflecting typical late-spring conditions with moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Slight differences among outcomes hinge on model spread regarding peak solar heating, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin high-cloud layers that could trim temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical May maxima average near 26 °C, providing a baseline traders weigh against the latest deterministic and ensemble runs. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and revised model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the tightest probabilities around the 26 °C and 27 °C thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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