Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and regional model ensembles point to a daytime maximum in Taipei of 31–32°C on May 18, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge, light winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong solar heating. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29–30°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat. Ensemble spread and afternoon convection potential create the tight contest between 31°C and 32°C outcomes, while urban heat-island effects around the official Songshan station could nudge the recorded peak slightly higher. Traders are monitoring the final pre-dawn model runs and any last-minute moisture influx that might cap temperatures below 31°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on May 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 18?
32°C 32%
31°C 28%
30°C 18%
33°C 16%
NEW
$10,624 Vol.
NEW
$10,624 Vol.
May 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
18%
31°C
28%
32°C
32%
33°C
16%
34°C or higher
7%
32°C 32%
31°C 28%
30°C 18%
33°C 16%
NEW
$10,624 Vol.
NEW
$10,624 Vol.
May 18, 2026
24°C or below
$908 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$879 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$985 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,568 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,146 Vol.
2%
29°C
$706 Vol.
5%
30°C
$651 Vol.
18%
31°C
$840 Vol.
28%
32°C
$653 Vol.
32%
33°C
$862 Vol.
16%
34°C or higher
$1,437 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and regional model ensembles point to a daytime maximum in Taipei of 31–32°C on May 18, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge, light winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong solar heating. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29–30°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat. Ensemble spread and afternoon convection potential create the tight contest between 31°C and 32°C outcomes, while urban heat-island effects around the official Songshan station could nudge the recorded peak slightly higher. Traders are monitoring the final pre-dawn model runs and any last-minute moisture influx that might cap temperatures below 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$10,624End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and regional model ensembles point to a daytime maximum in Taipei of 31–32°C on May 18, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge, light winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong solar heating. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29–30°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat. Ensemble spread and afternoon convection potential create the tight contest between 31°C and 32°C outcomes, while urban heat-island effects around the official Songshan station could nudge the recorded peak slightly higher. Traders are monitoring the final pre-dawn model runs and any last-minute moisture influx that might cap temperatures below 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,624End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRecent Central Weather Administration forecasts and regional model ensembles point to a daytime maximum in Taipei of 31–32°C on May 18, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge, light winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow strong solar heating. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29–30°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat. Ensemble spread and afternoon convection potential create the tight contest between 31°C and 32°C outcomes, while urban heat-island effects around the official Songshan station could nudge the recorded peak slightly higher. Traders are monitoring the final pre-dawn model runs and any last-minute moisture influx that might cap temperatures below 31°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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