Recent official forecasts from agencies and models including GFS, ECMWF, and national services indicate Tel Aviv highs of 31–32°C on August 31 under stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation. This pattern, typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions, supports the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C at 66.5% implied probability, as daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of the narrow range. Slight downward revisions in some ensemble members keep 31°C viable at 31.5%, while odds for 33°C or higher remain minimal given consistent steering and humidity levels near 50–60%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 31?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 31?
32°C 65%
31°C 32%
33°C 2%
30°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
32%
32°C
65%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 65%
31°C 32%
33°C 2%
30°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
$135 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$284 Vol.
1%
31°C
$368 Vol.
32%
32°C
$1,972 Vol.
65%
33°C
$309 Vol.
2%
34°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$448 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$271 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models including GFS, ECMWF, and national services indicate Tel Aviv highs of 31–32°C on August 31 under stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation. This pattern, typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions, supports the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C at 66.5% implied probability, as daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of the narrow range. Slight downward revisions in some ensemble members keep 31°C viable at 31.5%, while odds for 33°C or higher remain minimal given consistent steering and humidity levels near 50–60%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,582End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models including GFS, ECMWF, and national services indicate Tel Aviv highs of 31–32°C on August 31 under stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation. This pattern, typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions, supports the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C at 66.5% implied probability, as daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of the narrow range. Slight downward revisions in some ensemble members keep 31°C viable at 31.5%, while odds for 33°C or higher remain minimal given consistent steering and humidity levels near 50–60%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,582End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies and models including GFS, ECMWF, and national services indicate Tel Aviv highs of 31–32°C on August 31 under stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation. This pattern, typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions, supports the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C at 66.5% implied probability, as daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of the narrow range. Slight downward revisions in some ensemble members keep 31°C viable at 31.5%, while odds for 33°C or higher remain minimal given consistent steering and humidity levels near 50–60%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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