Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather indicate a peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 5 under clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and typical summer insolation, positioning 33°C as the leading market outcome at 68.5% implied probability. Seasonal baselines near 31–32°C, combined with limited heat advection and coastal moderation from the Mediterranean, support this range while reducing odds for 34°C or higher to under 9%. Recent model consensus and absence of subsidence strengthening or anomalous warming have reinforced trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 5?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 5?
33°C 69%
32°C 22%
34°C 9%
31°C <1%
$28,504 Vol.
$28,504 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
22%
33°C
69%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 69%
32°C 22%
34°C 9%
31°C <1%
$28,504 Vol.
$28,504 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
$566 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,383 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$599 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,055 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,521 Vol.
22%
33°C
$6,424 Vol.
69%
34°C
$6,112 Vol.
9%
35°C
$1,514 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,136 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$425 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$2,770 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather indicate a peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 5 under clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and typical summer insolation, positioning 33°C as the leading market outcome at 68.5% implied probability. Seasonal baselines near 31–32°C, combined with limited heat advection and coastal moderation from the Mediterranean, support this range while reducing odds for 34°C or higher to under 9%. Recent model consensus and absence of subsidence strengthening or anomalous warming have reinforced trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$28,504End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather indicate a peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 5 under clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and typical summer insolation, positioning 33°C as the leading market outcome at 68.5% implied probability. Seasonal baselines near 31–32°C, combined with limited heat advection and coastal moderation from the Mediterranean, support this range while reducing odds for 34°C or higher to under 9%. Recent model consensus and absence of subsidence strengthening or anomalous warming have reinforced trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,504End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather indicate a peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 5 under clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and typical summer insolation, positioning 33°C as the leading market outcome at 68.5% implied probability. Seasonal baselines near 31–32°C, combined with limited heat advection and coastal moderation from the Mediterranean, support this range while reducing odds for 34°C or higher to under 9%. Recent model consensus and absence of subsidence strengthening or anomalous warming have reinforced trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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