Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Zhengzhou maxima near 31–32°C on August 17, 2026, driven by peak summer solar insolation under southeasterly monsoon flow and elevated boundary-layer moisture. These conditions sustain heat but introduce uncertainty from variable afternoon cloud cover and potential weak frontal boundaries that could cap or boost the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 31–33°C with frequent humidity limiting nocturnal cooling, aligning trader consensus—evident in the 47.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher—with model spreads rather than any single extreme. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 17?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 17?
31°C 30%
30°C 14%
29°C 11%
28°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
14%
31°C
30%
32°C or higher
48%
31°C 30%
30°C 14%
29°C 11%
28°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
22°C or below
$317 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$395 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$36 Vol.
7%
29°C
$23 Vol.
11%
30°C
$62 Vol.
14%
31°C
$15 Vol.
30%
32°C or higher
$19 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Zhengzhou maxima near 31–32°C on August 17, 2026, driven by peak summer solar insolation under southeasterly monsoon flow and elevated boundary-layer moisture. These conditions sustain heat but introduce uncertainty from variable afternoon cloud cover and potential weak frontal boundaries that could cap or boost the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 31–33°C with frequent humidity limiting nocturnal cooling, aligning trader consensus—evident in the 47.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher—with model spreads rather than any single extreme. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,714End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Zhengzhou maxima near 31–32°C on August 17, 2026, driven by peak summer solar insolation under southeasterly monsoon flow and elevated boundary-layer moisture. These conditions sustain heat but introduce uncertainty from variable afternoon cloud cover and potential weak frontal boundaries that could cap or boost the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 31–33°C with frequent humidity limiting nocturnal cooling, aligning trader consensus—evident in the 47.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher—with model spreads rather than any single extreme. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,714End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Zhengzhou maxima near 31–32°C on August 17, 2026, driven by peak summer solar insolation under southeasterly monsoon flow and elevated boundary-layer moisture. These conditions sustain heat but introduce uncertainty from variable afternoon cloud cover and potential weak frontal boundaries that could cap or boost the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 31–33°C with frequent humidity limiting nocturnal cooling, aligning trader consensus—evident in the 47.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher—with model spreads rather than any single extreme. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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