The Democratic Party enters the June 3 local elections with structural advantages from President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings above 60 percent and unified control of the presidency and National Assembly, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 12–13 of 17 mayor and governor seats because several battleground contests remain competitive. Recent polling in Seoul and Busan shows Democratic candidates leading but within margins that leave room for late shifts driven by turnout among centrist voters, while the People Power Party’s incumbents in those regions continue to draw support despite the ongoing shadow of the 2024 martial law episode. Both parties have framed the vote as a referendum on the other side’s record, keeping momentum fluid in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
13 28%
12 26%
11 25.0%
14 16%
≤10
9%
11
25%
12
35%
13
26%
14
16%
15
6%
≥16
1%
13 28%
12 26%
11 25.0%
14 16%
≤10
9%
11
25%
12
35%
13
26%
14
16%
15
6%
≥16
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic Party enters the June 3 local elections with structural advantages from President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings above 60 percent and unified control of the presidency and National Assembly, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 12–13 of 17 mayor and governor seats because several battleground contests remain competitive. Recent polling in Seoul and Busan shows Democratic candidates leading but within margins that leave room for late shifts driven by turnout among centrist voters, while the People Power Party’s incumbents in those regions continue to draw support despite the ongoing shadow of the 2024 martial law episode. Both parties have framed the vote as a referendum on the other side’s record, keeping momentum fluid in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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