The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 local elections as the clear favorite in most of the 17 metropolitan mayoral and gubernatorial races, buoyed by President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings above 55 percent and structural advantages in traditional strongholds. Trader consensus clustering between 11 and 14 wins reflects uncertainty in swing contests such as Seoul, where the DP candidate faces the incumbent People Power Party mayor, and Busan and Daegu, traditional conservative bastions now featuring high-profile DP challengers. Recent candidate registration and unification talks in places like Ulsan have added final-week volatility without shifting the overall tilt. Late polling shifts or turnout differences in these battlegrounds could still separate the likely outcomes of 12 or 13 from neighboring results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
How many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
13 28%
12 26%
11 25.3%
14 16%
NEW
NEW
Jun 3, 2026
≤10
10%
11
25%
12
35%
13
30%
14
16%
15
6%
≥16
1%
13 28%
12 26%
11 25.3%
14 16%
NEW
NEW
Jun 3, 2026
≤10
$4,272 Vol.
10%
11
$465 Vol.
25%
12
$478 Vol.
35%
13
$843 Vol.
30%
14
$1,126 Vol.
16%
15
$620 Vol.
6%
≥16
$743 Vol.
1%
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 local elections as the clear favorite in most of the 17 metropolitan mayoral and gubernatorial races, buoyed by President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings above 55 percent and structural advantages in traditional strongholds. Trader consensus clustering between 11 and 14 wins reflects uncertainty in swing contests such as Seoul, where the DP candidate faces the incumbent People Power Party mayor, and Busan and Daegu, traditional conservative bastions now featuring high-profile DP challengers. Recent candidate registration and unification talks in places like Ulsan have added final-week volatility without shifting the overall tilt. Late polling shifts or turnout differences in these battlegrounds could still separate the likely outcomes of 12 or 13 from neighboring results.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Volume
$8,547End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 local elections as the clear favorite in most of the 17 metropolitan mayoral and gubernatorial races, buoyed by President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings above 55 percent and structural advantages in traditional strongholds. Trader consensus clustering between 11 and 14 wins reflects uncertainty in swing contests such as Seoul, where the DP candidate faces the incumbent People Power Party mayor, and Busan and Daegu, traditional conservative bastions now featuring high-profile DP challengers. Recent candidate registration and unification talks in places like Ulsan have added final-week volatility without shifting the overall tilt. Late polling shifts or turnout differences in these battlegrounds could still separate the likely outcomes of 12 or 13 from neighboring results.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Volume
$8,547End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 local elections as the clear favorite in most of the 17 metropolitan mayoral and gubernatorial races, buoyed by President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings above 55 percent and structural advantages in traditional strongholds. Trader consensus clustering between 11 and 14 wins reflects uncertainty in swing contests such as Seoul, where the DP candidate faces the incumbent People Power Party mayor, and Busan and Daegu, traditional conservative bastions now featuring high-profile DP challengers. Recent candidate registration and unification talks in places like Ulsan have added final-week volatility without shifting the overall tilt. Late polling shifts or turnout differences in these battlegrounds could still separate the likely outcomes of 12 or 13 from neighboring results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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