Persistent unsettled conditions driven by a low-pressure system and associated frontal rain are keeping overnight temperatures mild across London on August 29. Official Met Office guidance and ensemble models project a minimum of 16–17°C under widespread cloud cover, moderate southerly winds, and periods of rain or thunderstorms, which limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show high consistency on this range, with limited spread toward cooler values only if clearer breaks develop overnight. Historical late-August climatology supports similar mild minima under comparable synoptic patterns, and the market-implied odds align closely with this consensus forecast ahead of final observational data from London stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 29?
Lowest temperature in London on August 29?
17°C 63%
16°C 22%
18°C 16%
15°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
22%
17°C
63%
18°C
16%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 63%
16°C 22%
18°C 16%
15°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
$197 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$164 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$250 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,594 Vol.
22%
17°C
$1,493 Vol.
63%
18°C
$711 Vol.
16%
19°C
$517 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$139 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent unsettled conditions driven by a low-pressure system and associated frontal rain are keeping overnight temperatures mild across London on August 29. Official Met Office guidance and ensemble models project a minimum of 16–17°C under widespread cloud cover, moderate southerly winds, and periods of rain or thunderstorms, which limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show high consistency on this range, with limited spread toward cooler values only if clearer breaks develop overnight. Historical late-August climatology supports similar mild minima under comparable synoptic patterns, and the market-implied odds align closely with this consensus forecast ahead of final observational data from London stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$5,518End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent unsettled conditions driven by a low-pressure system and associated frontal rain are keeping overnight temperatures mild across London on August 29. Official Met Office guidance and ensemble models project a minimum of 16–17°C under widespread cloud cover, moderate southerly winds, and periods of rain or thunderstorms, which limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show high consistency on this range, with limited spread toward cooler values only if clearer breaks develop overnight. Historical late-August climatology supports similar mild minima under comparable synoptic patterns, and the market-implied odds align closely with this consensus forecast ahead of final observational data from London stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,518End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent unsettled conditions driven by a low-pressure system and associated frontal rain are keeping overnight temperatures mild across London on August 29. Official Met Office guidance and ensemble models project a minimum of 16–17°C under widespread cloud cover, moderate southerly winds, and periods of rain or thunderstorms, which limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show high consistency on this range, with limited spread toward cooler values only if clearer breaks develop overnight. Historical late-August climatology supports similar mild minima under comparable synoptic patterns, and the market-implied odds align closely with this consensus forecast ahead of final observational data from London stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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