Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 30 points to a minimum of 15°C amid clearing skies and moderate southwesterly winds following heavy showers the prior day, driving the tight market split between 16°C (45%) and 17°C (43.5%). Radiative cooling overnight under partial cloud cover will determine the exact low, with stronger winds or lingering moisture limiting drops below 16°C while clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 15°C. Ensemble model spreads reflect this narrow uncertainty range, consistent with late-summer climatology where overnight minima average near 14–16°C. Updated forecast runs and surface observations over the next 12 hours will likely resolve the 16–17°C contest before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 30?
Lowest temperature in London on August 30?
16°C 46%
17°C 44%
18°C 8%
15°C 3.7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
46%
17°C
44%
18°C
8%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 46%
17°C 44%
18°C 8%
15°C 3.7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
$32 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$568 Vol.
4%
16°C
$2,412 Vol.
46%
17°C
$1,732 Vol.
44%
18°C
$1,218 Vol.
8%
19°C
$39 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$39 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$61 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 30 points to a minimum of 15°C amid clearing skies and moderate southwesterly winds following heavy showers the prior day, driving the tight market split between 16°C (45%) and 17°C (43.5%). Radiative cooling overnight under partial cloud cover will determine the exact low, with stronger winds or lingering moisture limiting drops below 16°C while clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 15°C. Ensemble model spreads reflect this narrow uncertainty range, consistent with late-summer climatology where overnight minima average near 14–16°C. Updated forecast runs and surface observations over the next 12 hours will likely resolve the 16–17°C contest before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$6,550End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 30 points to a minimum of 15°C amid clearing skies and moderate southwesterly winds following heavy showers the prior day, driving the tight market split between 16°C (45%) and 17°C (43.5%). Radiative cooling overnight under partial cloud cover will determine the exact low, with stronger winds or lingering moisture limiting drops below 16°C while clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 15°C. Ensemble model spreads reflect this narrow uncertainty range, consistent with late-summer climatology where overnight minima average near 14–16°C. Updated forecast runs and surface observations over the next 12 hours will likely resolve the 16–17°C contest before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,550End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 30 points to a minimum of 15°C amid clearing skies and moderate southwesterly winds following heavy showers the prior day, driving the tight market split between 16°C (45%) and 17°C (43.5%). Radiative cooling overnight under partial cloud cover will determine the exact low, with stronger winds or lingering moisture limiting drops below 16°C while clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 15°C. Ensemble model spreads reflect this narrow uncertainty range, consistent with late-summer climatology where overnight minima average near 14–16°C. Updated forecast runs and surface observations over the next 12 hours will likely resolve the 16–17°C contest before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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