Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, maintains widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity across Metro Manila, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 25–26 °C. Official PAGASA observations through late afternoon recorded a 26.4 °C low at the Science Garden station, while regional outlooks project overnight ranges of 25–27 °C amid moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds that enhance turbulent mixing. Model consensus on the exact degree of cloud thinning or wind-driven advection creates the narrow spread among 24 °C, 25 °C, and 26 °C outcomes; any brief clearing before dawn could allow slightly greater cooling toward 24 °C, whereas continued rain and moisture would hold readings at or above 25 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Manila on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 28?
25°C 50%
24°C 47%
23°C 5%
22°C 3%
$1,355 Vol.
$1,355 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
47%
25°C
50%
26°C
44%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
24°C 47%
23°C 5%
22°C 3%
$1,355 Vol.
$1,355 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
$82 Vol.
1%
22°C
$35 Vol.
3%
23°C
$72 Vol.
5%
24°C
$6 Vol.
47%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$1 Vol.
44%
27°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$109 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$154 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, maintains widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity across Metro Manila, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 25–26 °C. Official PAGASA observations through late afternoon recorded a 26.4 °C low at the Science Garden station, while regional outlooks project overnight ranges of 25–27 °C amid moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds that enhance turbulent mixing. Model consensus on the exact degree of cloud thinning or wind-driven advection creates the narrow spread among 24 °C, 25 °C, and 26 °C outcomes; any brief clearing before dawn could allow slightly greater cooling toward 24 °C, whereas continued rain and moisture would hold readings at or above 25 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,355End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, maintains widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity across Metro Manila, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 25–26 °C. Official PAGASA observations through late afternoon recorded a 26.4 °C low at the Science Garden station, while regional outlooks project overnight ranges of 25–27 °C amid moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds that enhance turbulent mixing. Model consensus on the exact degree of cloud thinning or wind-driven advection creates the narrow spread among 24 °C, 25 °C, and 26 °C outcomes; any brief clearing before dawn could allow slightly greater cooling toward 24 °C, whereas continued rain and moisture would hold readings at or above 25 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,355End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, maintains widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity across Metro Manila, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 25–26 °C. Official PAGASA observations through late afternoon recorded a 26.4 °C low at the Science Garden station, while regional outlooks project overnight ranges of 25–27 °C amid moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds that enhance turbulent mixing. Model consensus on the exact degree of cloud thinning or wind-driven advection creates the narrow spread among 24 °C, 25 °C, and 26 °C outcomes; any brief clearing before dawn could allow slightly greater cooling toward 24 °C, whereas continued rain and moisture would hold readings at or above 25 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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