Trader consensus on Mexico City’s August 28 low clusters tightly around 13–14 °C because official station readings and model guidance converged on a minimum in that narrow band amid the city’s rainy-season regime. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity suppressed radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island and 2,240 m elevation kept the floor from dropping further despite a passing cold front. Model runs from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles showed only modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind, producing the near-even split between the two leading outcomes. Resolution hinges on the precise official minimum reported by the Mexico City observatory, where small differences in observation timing or siting can shift the final value by 1 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 28?
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$852 Vol.
$852 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$852 Vol.
$852 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
$270 Vol.
No
10°C
$56 Vol.
No
11°C
$49 Vol.
No
12°C
$55 Vol.
No
13°C
$48 Vol.
No
14°C
$62 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$104 Vol.
No
16°C
$70 Vol.
No
17°C
$56 Vol.
No
18°C
$23 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$58 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Mexico City’s August 28 low clusters tightly around 13–14 °C because official station readings and model guidance converged on a minimum in that narrow band amid the city’s rainy-season regime. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity suppressed radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island and 2,240 m elevation kept the floor from dropping further despite a passing cold front. Model runs from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles showed only modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind, producing the near-even split between the two leading outcomes. Resolution hinges on the precise official minimum reported by the Mexico City observatory, where small differences in observation timing or siting can shift the final value by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$852End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Mexico City’s August 28 low clusters tightly around 13–14 °C because official station readings and model guidance converged on a minimum in that narrow band amid the city’s rainy-season regime. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity suppressed radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island and 2,240 m elevation kept the floor from dropping further despite a passing cold front. Model runs from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles showed only modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind, producing the near-even split between the two leading outcomes. Resolution hinges on the precise official minimum reported by the Mexico City observatory, where small differences in observation timing or siting can shift the final value by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$852End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Mexico City’s August 28 low clusters tightly around 13–14 °C because official station readings and model guidance converged on a minimum in that narrow band amid the city’s rainy-season regime. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity suppressed radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island and 2,240 m elevation kept the floor from dropping further despite a passing cold front. Model runs from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles showed only modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind, producing the near-even split between the two leading outcomes. Resolution hinges on the precise official minimum reported by the Mexico City observatory, where small differences in observation timing or siting can shift the final value by 1 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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