Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul's June 14 minimum temperature centered near 20°C with notable spread across ensembles, driving the close market-implied odds of 39% for 21°C, 37.5% for 20°C, and 36.5% for 19°C. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, variable low-level moisture from the East Asian monsoon, and urban heat island moderation create the narrow range, while wind patterns and any overnight precipitation could shift the actual low by 1–2°C. Trader consensus reflects this inherent short-term forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日首尔最低气温?
21°C 43%
19°C 24%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
23%
20°C
37%
21°C
43%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
21°C 43%
19°C 24%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
23%
20°C
37%
21°C
43%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul's June 14 minimum temperature centered near 20°C with notable spread across ensembles, driving the close market-implied odds of 39% for 21°C, 37.5% for 20°C, and 36.5% for 19°C. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, variable low-level moisture from the East Asian monsoon, and urban heat island moderation create the narrow range, while wind patterns and any overnight precipitation could shift the actual low by 1–2°C. Trader consensus reflects this inherent short-term forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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