Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models center Seoul's June 15 overnight low near 18–19 °C, driving the near-even market split as traders weigh subtle differences in expected radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Early June conditions feature moderate humidity ahead of full monsoon onset, with variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow limiting extreme nighttime drops below typical climatological minima around 17–18 °C. Clearer intervals could favor the lower outcome through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased moisture or brief showers would support slightly warmer readings near 19 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any revised model runs overnight will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the morning low measurement window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日首尔最低气温?
19°C 41%
18°C 38%
17°C 7%
16°C 4.2%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
7%
18°C
42%
19°C
41%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 41%
18°C 38%
17°C 7%
16°C 4.2%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
7%
18°C
42%
19°C
41%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models center Seoul's June 15 overnight low near 18–19 °C, driving the near-even market split as traders weigh subtle differences in expected radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Early June conditions feature moderate humidity ahead of full monsoon onset, with variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow limiting extreme nighttime drops below typical climatological minima around 17–18 °C. Clearer intervals could favor the lower outcome through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased moisture or brief showers would support slightly warmer readings near 19 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any revised model runs overnight will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the morning low measurement window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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