Traders see the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 13 split closely between 24°C and 26°C because official forecasts and model guidance converge on overnight lows in that narrow range under persistent subtropical moisture. High humidity near 80-95% and widespread cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation, while light easterly winds reduce turbulent mixing that could otherwise allow sharper drops. Scattered showers and thunderstorms further moderate temperatures by enhancing downward heat flux. Differentiation between the leading outcomes hinges on precise timing of any partial clearing or wind shifts before dawn, as even modest changes in these variables can shift the minimum by 1-2°C in Shenzhen’s urban environment. Updated model runs and local observations through the night remain the key near-term drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 13?
26°C 99.5%
21°C or below 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
$1,088 Vol.
$1,088 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 99.5%
21°C or below 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
$1,088 Vol.
$1,088 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
No
22°C
$0 Vol.
No
23°C
$30 Vol.
No
24°C
$65 Vol.
No
25°C
$132 Vol.
No
26°C
$332 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$88 Vol.
No
28°C
$397 Vol.
No
29°C
$15 Vol.
No
30°C
$15 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$15 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 13 split closely between 24°C and 26°C because official forecasts and model guidance converge on overnight lows in that narrow range under persistent subtropical moisture. High humidity near 80-95% and widespread cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation, while light easterly winds reduce turbulent mixing that could otherwise allow sharper drops. Scattered showers and thunderstorms further moderate temperatures by enhancing downward heat flux. Differentiation between the leading outcomes hinges on precise timing of any partial clearing or wind shifts before dawn, as even modest changes in these variables can shift the minimum by 1-2°C in Shenzhen’s urban environment. Updated model runs and local observations through the night remain the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,088End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 13 split closely between 24°C and 26°C because official forecasts and model guidance converge on overnight lows in that narrow range under persistent subtropical moisture. High humidity near 80-95% and widespread cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation, while light easterly winds reduce turbulent mixing that could otherwise allow sharper drops. Scattered showers and thunderstorms further moderate temperatures by enhancing downward heat flux. Differentiation between the leading outcomes hinges on precise timing of any partial clearing or wind shifts before dawn, as even modest changes in these variables can shift the minimum by 1-2°C in Shenzhen’s urban environment. Updated model runs and local observations through the night remain the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,088End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders see the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 13 split closely between 24°C and 26°C because official forecasts and model guidance converge on overnight lows in that narrow range under persistent subtropical moisture. High humidity near 80-95% and widespread cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation, while light easterly winds reduce turbulent mixing that could otherwise allow sharper drops. Scattered showers and thunderstorms further moderate temperatures by enhancing downward heat flux. Differentiation between the leading outcomes hinges on precise timing of any partial clearing or wind shifts before dawn, as even modest changes in these variables can shift the minimum by 1-2°C in Shenzhen’s urban environment. Updated model runs and local observations through the night remain the key near-term drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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