Skip to main content
icon for MI-08 Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

MI-08 Republican Primary Winner

icon for MI-08 Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

MI-08 Republican Primary Winner

Amir Hassan 85%

Alfred Lemmo 39%

Thomas J. Smith 37%

Polymarket
NEW

Amir Hassan 85%

Alfred Lemmo 39%

Thomas J. Smith 37%

Polymarket
NEW

Amir Hassan

$0 Vol.

85%

Alfred Lemmo

$0 Vol.

39%

Thomas J. Smith

$0 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Traders view the MI-08 Republican primary as highly competitive ahead of the August 4 vote, with no public polling available to clarify support levels among Amir Hassan, Alfred Lemmo, and Thomas J. Smith. Hassan holds a notable fundraising edge and received a late-June endorsement from President Trump, along with backing from several congressional Republicans and a Detroit News editorial nod, positioning him as the frontrunner in name recognition. Lemmo and Smith remain active challengers with limited visibility, keeping the field fragmented in a low-turnout primary where voter outreach and last-minute shifts could alter outcomes. These dynamics sustain tight market pricing until clearer signals emerge closer to election day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Traders view the MI-08 Republican primary as highly competitive ahead of the August 4 vote, with no public polling available to clarify support levels among Amir Hassan, Alfred Lemmo, and Thomas J. Smith. Hassan holds a notable fundraising edge and received a late-June endorsement from President Trump, along with backing from several congressional Republicans and a Detroit News editorial nod, positioning him as the frontrunner in name recognition. Lemmo and Smith remain active challengers with limited visibility, keeping the field fragmented in a low-turnout primary where voter outreach and last-minute shifts could alter outcomes. These dynamics sustain tight market pricing until clearer signals emerge closer to election day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related

icon for Will Terri DeBoer be the MI-03 Republican nominee?

Will Terri DeBoer be the MI-03 Republican nominee?

83%
icon for Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?

Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?

97%
icon for Will Jack Bergman be the MI-01 Republican nominee?

Will Jack Bergman be the MI-01 Republican nominee?

96%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-08 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Amir Hassan" at 85%, followed by "Alfred Lemmo" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MI-08 Republican Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MI-08 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-08 Republican Primary Winner" is "Amir Hassan" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alfred Lemmo" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-08 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.