House Speaker Mike Johnson continues to navigate a razor-thin Republican majority in the House, currently at 218 seats following the January 2026 death of Rep. Doug LaMalfa, which has amplified internal divisions and procedural challenges. Recent weeks have seen multiple successful discharge petitions bypass his leadership on issues including Ukraine aid, underscoring rank-and-file willingness to circumvent the speaker on floor votes. GOP members have voiced growing frustration with attendance shortfalls ahead of the 2026 midterms and questioned Johnson's ability to maintain party discipline on appropriations and border funding measures. Some conservatives, including Rep. Max Miller, have signaled they may oppose his re-election as speaker in the next Congress, while Johnson has focused on advancing reconciliation legislation and ending recent agency funding lapses. These dynamics reflect ongoing tensions between the slim majority and competing priorities within the conference.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$101,654 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
4%
December 31, 2026
24%
$101,654 Vol.
June 30, 2026
$5,601 Vol.
4%
December 31, 2026
$2,717 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.House Speaker Mike Johnson continues to navigate a razor-thin Republican majority in the House, currently at 218 seats following the January 2026 death of Rep. Doug LaMalfa, which has amplified internal divisions and procedural challenges. Recent weeks have seen multiple successful discharge petitions bypass his leadership on issues including Ukraine aid, underscoring rank-and-file willingness to circumvent the speaker on floor votes. GOP members have voiced growing frustration with attendance shortfalls ahead of the 2026 midterms and questioned Johnson's ability to maintain party discipline on appropriations and border funding measures. Some conservatives, including Rep. Max Miller, have signaled they may oppose his re-election as speaker in the next Congress, while Johnson has focused on advancing reconciliation legislation and ending recent agency funding lapses. These dynamics reflect ongoing tensions between the slim majority and competing priorities within the conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ET
Volume
$101,654End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.House Speaker Mike Johnson continues to navigate a razor-thin Republican majority in the House, currently at 218 seats following the January 2026 death of Rep. Doug LaMalfa, which has amplified internal divisions and procedural challenges. Recent weeks have seen multiple successful discharge petitions bypass his leadership on issues including Ukraine aid, underscoring rank-and-file willingness to circumvent the speaker on floor votes. GOP members have voiced growing frustration with attendance shortfalls ahead of the 2026 midterms and questioned Johnson's ability to maintain party discipline on appropriations and border funding measures. Some conservatives, including Rep. Max Miller, have signaled they may oppose his re-election as speaker in the next Congress, while Johnson has focused on advancing reconciliation legislation and ending recent agency funding lapses. These dynamics reflect ongoing tensions between the slim majority and competing priorities within the conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$101,654End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...House Speaker Mike Johnson continues to navigate a razor-thin Republican majority in the House, currently at 218 seats following the January 2026 death of Rep. Doug LaMalfa, which has amplified internal divisions and procedural challenges. Recent weeks have seen multiple successful discharge petitions bypass his leadership on issues including Ukraine aid, underscoring rank-and-file willingness to circumvent the speaker on floor votes. GOP members have voiced growing frustration with attendance shortfalls ahead of the 2026 midterms and questioned Johnson's ability to maintain party discipline on appropriations and border funding measures. Some conservatives, including Rep. Max Miller, have signaled they may oppose his re-election as speaker in the next Congress, while Johnson has focused on advancing reconciliation legislation and ending recent agency funding lapses. These dynamics reflect ongoing tensions between the slim majority and competing priorities within the conference.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions