Cinde Warmington holds a commanding lead in the New Hampshire Democratic primary for governor due to her established record as a former executive councilor and her February 2026 campaign launch focused on affordability, housing expansion, and addiction policy. The April departure of Jon Kiper from the Democratic field to run under a new Community First Party label has further consolidated support behind her as the primary remaining candidate ahead of the September 8 contest. Other entrants such as Tom Sherman, John Kiper, Deaglan McEachern, and Donovan Fenton trail significantly, reflecting limited visibility and resources in the current cycle. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the dominant factors shaping the implied probability for the Democratic nomination.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCinde Warmington 77%
Tom Sherman 5.1%
John Kiper 5%
Deaglan McEachern 3.2%
$23,136 Vol.
$23,136 Vol.
Cinde Warmington
77%
Tom Sherman
6%
John Kiper
5%
Deaglan McEachern
3%
Donovan Fenton
<1%
Cinde Warmington 77%
Tom Sherman 5.1%
John Kiper 5%
Deaglan McEachern 3.2%
$23,136 Vol.
$23,136 Vol.
Cinde Warmington
77%
Tom Sherman
6%
John Kiper
5%
Deaglan McEachern
3%
Donovan Fenton
<1%
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Cinde Warmington holds a commanding lead in the New Hampshire Democratic primary for governor due to her established record as a former executive councilor and her February 2026 campaign launch focused on affordability, housing expansion, and addiction policy. The April departure of Jon Kiper from the Democratic field to run under a new Community First Party label has further consolidated support behind her as the primary remaining candidate ahead of the September 8 contest. Other entrants such as Tom Sherman, John Kiper, Deaglan McEachern, and Donovan Fenton trail significantly, reflecting limited visibility and resources in the current cycle. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the dominant factors shaping the implied probability for the Democratic nomination.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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