Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for NYC Mayor # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?

icon for NYC Mayor # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?

20-39 95%

40-59 5.0%

60-79 1.1%

80-99 <1%

Polymarket
NEW

20-39 95%

40-59 5.0%

60-79 1.1%

80-99 <1%

Polymarket
NEW

20-39

$5,172 Vol.

95%

40-59

$907 Vol.

5%

60-79

$647 Vol.

1%

80-99

$410 Vol.

1%

100-119

$410 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$164 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$398 Vol.

1%

160-179

$428 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$312 Vol.

<1%

200+

$261 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor X account maintains a steady posting cadence focused on city announcements, policy updates, events, and public service information.** Since taking office in January 2026, the account has shown elevated activity relative to prior administrations, with patterns from the first 100 days and August 2026 examples indicating multiple posts most days. Over the eight-day window of August 28–September 4, this produces totals that cluster in the 20–39 range, consistent with the market’s 94.5% consensus on that bin. Recent weeks have featured routine output on topics such as infrastructure, public health, and borough events without spikes from major crises or coordinated campaigns that would push volume into higher brackets. The frontrunner outcome reflects trader assessment of this established rhythm. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen emergency requiring repeated official updates, a concentrated series of policy rollouts, or an internal change in communications volume, though no such catalysts are evident in the current period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,956
End Date
Sep 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor X account maintains a steady posting cadence focused on city announcements, policy updates, events, and public service information.** Since taking office in January 2026, the account has shown elevated activity relative to prior administrations, with patterns from the first 100 days and August 2026 examples indicating multiple posts most days. Over the eight-day window of August 28–September 4, this produces totals that cluster in the 20–39 range, consistent with the market’s 94.5% consensus on that bin. Recent weeks have featured routine output on topics such as infrastructure, public health, and borough events without spikes from major crises or coordinated campaigns that would push volume into higher brackets. The frontrunner outcome reflects trader assessment of this established rhythm. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen emergency requiring repeated official updates, a concentrated series of policy rollouts, or an internal change in communications volume, though no such catalysts are evident in the current period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,956
End Date
Sep 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NYC Mayor # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 95%, followed by "40-59" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NYC Mayor # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NYC Mayor # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NYC Mayor # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?" is "20-39" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-59" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NYC Mayor # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.