Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Polymarket
NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Maggie Goodlander

Maggie Goodlander

$1,745 Vol.

98%

icon for Paige Beauchemin

Paige Beauchemin

$2,140 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding lead in the New Hampshire 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary, set for September 8, 2026, driven by her status as the sitting representative, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million compared to challengers' far smaller hauls, and established party and national connections. Recent polling from late August showed her ahead by roughly 40 points with limited undecided voters, consistent with her 2024 primary performance. State Representative Paige Beauchemin, the main opponent, has positioned herself as a progressive alternative emphasizing working-class issues, but lacks comparable resources or visibility. Trader consensus in the market reflects these structural advantages for the incumbent, though an unusually low-turnout scenario or unforeseen late development in the final days could theoretically narrow the gap before polls close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,885
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 1:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding lead in the New Hampshire 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary, set for September 8, 2026, driven by her status as the sitting representative, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million compared to challengers' far smaller hauls, and established party and national connections. Recent polling from late August showed her ahead by roughly 40 points with limited undecided voters, consistent with her 2024 primary performance. State Representative Paige Beauchemin, the main opponent, has positioned herself as a progressive alternative emphasizing working-class issues, but lacks comparable resources or visibility. Trader consensus in the market reflects these structural advantages for the incumbent, though an unusually low-turnout scenario or unforeseen late development in the final days could theoretically narrow the gap before polls close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,885
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 1:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related

icon for Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?

Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?

69%
icon for Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?

92%
icon for Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?

Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?

75%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Maggie Goodlander" at 98%, followed by "Paige Beauchemin" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Maggie Goodlander" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Paige Beauchemin" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NH-02 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.