Mayor Zohran Mamdani has sustained a steady posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor account since taking office in January 2026, averaging three to five updates daily on policy announcements, housing initiatives, library funding, transit issues, and responses to local incidents. This established rhythm, drawn from his prior legislative experience and consistent use of social media as a governance tool, positions the 20-39 bracket as the dominant outcome among traders. No major escalations, campaign surges, or breaking events in the May 12-19 window have disrupted the pattern, keeping higher-volume scenarios at minimal implied probabilities while the lower bracket reflects only modest downside risk from routine variations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
20-39 70%
<20 21.3%
40-59 1.0%
60-79 <1%
$10,081 Vol.
$10,081 Vol.
<20
21%
20-39
80%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
20-39 70%
<20 21.3%
40-59 1.0%
60-79 <1%
$10,081 Vol.
$10,081 Vol.
<20
21%
20-39
80%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 9, 2026, 1:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mayor Zohran Mamdani has sustained a steady posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor account since taking office in January 2026, averaging three to five updates daily on policy announcements, housing initiatives, library funding, transit issues, and responses to local incidents. This established rhythm, drawn from his prior legislative experience and consistent use of social media as a governance tool, positions the 20-39 bracket as the dominant outcome among traders. No major escalations, campaign surges, or breaking events in the May 12-19 window have disrupted the pattern, keeping higher-volume scenarios at minimal implied probabilities while the lower bracket reflects only modest downside risk from routine variations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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