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icon for NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

icon for NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

20-39 98.4%

40-59 1.3%

60-79 <1%

180-199 <1%

Polymarket

$11,123 Vol.

20-39 98.4%

40-59 1.3%

60-79 <1%

180-199 <1%

Polymarket

$11,123 Vol.

<20

$3,274 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$1,920 Vol.

98%

40-59

$623 Vol.

1%

60-79

$508 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$571 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$473 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$766 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$785 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$766 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$822 Vol.

<1%

200+

$616 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market's strong consensus around 20-39 posts by the NYC mayor from May 12 to May 19, 2026, stems from established patterns of routine official communications on platforms like X, where City Hall typically shares updates on policy, public safety, infrastructure projects, and community events several times daily. This volume reflects standard mayoral engagement without extraordinary catalysts such as major crises or high-profile legislative votes. Traders assign minimal probability to ranges outside this band because historical weekly activity under the current administration has remained stable absent disruptive developments. Late-breaking events like severe weather responses, budget negotiations, or high-visibility incidents could still increase output, though recent conditions indicate such shifts are unlikely to materialize within the resolution window.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$11,123
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 1:29 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market's strong consensus around 20-39 posts by the NYC mayor from May 12 to May 19, 2026, stems from established patterns of routine official communications on platforms like X, where City Hall typically shares updates on policy, public safety, infrastructure projects, and community events several times daily. This volume reflects standard mayoral engagement without extraordinary catalysts such as major crises or high-profile legislative votes. Traders assign minimal probability to ranges outside this band because historical weekly activity under the current administration has remained stable absent disruptive developments. Late-breaking events like severe weather responses, budget negotiations, or high-visibility incidents could still increase output, though recent conditions indicate such shifts are unlikely to materialize within the resolution window.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$11,123
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 1:29 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 98%, followed by "40-59" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?" has generated $11.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?" is "20-39" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-59" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.