Zohran Mamdani’s established pattern of social media activity since assuming office in January 2026 drives the current market positioning, with traders assigning the highest probability to the 20-39 post range for the week of May 19-26. Official announcements on housing policy, expanded internet access, and the return of TikTok for city government have shaped a steady cadence of updates rather than high-volume daily engagement. No major legislative votes, summits, or breaking developments are scheduled inside the resolution window that would typically trigger elevated posting. Historical weekly averages for the official account and mayoral communications align closely with moderate output levels, while higher ranges such as 140-159 reflect only outlier scenarios tied to unforeseen events. This distribution captures the wisdom of crowds assessing routine executive-branch communication rhythms against the absence of near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNYC Mayor # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?
20-39 83.0%
<20 11%
40-59 2.1%
60-79 1.1%
<20
11%
20-39
83%
40-59
2%
60-79
1%
80-99
1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
15%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
20-39 83.0%
<20 11%
40-59 2.1%
60-79 1.1%
<20
11%
20-39
83%
40-59
2%
60-79
1%
80-99
1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
15%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorZohran Mamdani’s established pattern of social media activity since assuming office in January 2026 drives the current market positioning, with traders assigning the highest probability to the 20-39 post range for the week of May 19-26. Official announcements on housing policy, expanded internet access, and the return of TikTok for city government have shaped a steady cadence of updates rather than high-volume daily engagement. No major legislative votes, summits, or breaking developments are scheduled inside the resolution window that would typically trigger elevated posting. Historical weekly averages for the official account and mayoral communications align closely with moderate output levels, while higher ranges such as 140-159 reflect only outlier scenarios tied to unforeseen events. This distribution captures the wisdom of crowds assessing routine executive-branch communication rhythms against the absence of near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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