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icon for NYC Mayor # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

icon for NYC Mayor # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

20-39 83.0%

<20 11%

40-59 2.1%

60-79 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

20-39 83.0%

<20 11%

40-59 2.1%

60-79 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

<20

$36 Vol.

11%

20-39

$50 Vol.

83%

40-59

$138 Vol.

2%

60-79

$30 Vol.

1%

80-99

$50 Vol.

1%

100-119

$169 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$154 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$154 Vol.

15%

160-179

$159 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$164 Vol.

<1%

200+

$254 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani’s established pattern of social media activity since assuming office in January 2026 drives the current market positioning, with traders assigning the highest probability to the 20-39 post range for the week of May 19-26. Official announcements on housing policy, expanded internet access, and the return of TikTok for city government have shaped a steady cadence of updates rather than high-volume daily engagement. No major legislative votes, summits, or breaking developments are scheduled inside the resolution window that would typically trigger elevated posting. Historical weekly averages for the official account and mayoral communications align closely with moderate output levels, while higher ranges such as 140-159 reflect only outlier scenarios tied to unforeseen events. This distribution captures the wisdom of crowds assessing routine executive-branch communication rhythms against the absence of near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,357
End Date
May 26, 2026
Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani’s established pattern of social media activity since assuming office in January 2026 drives the current market positioning, with traders assigning the highest probability to the 20-39 post range for the week of May 19-26. Official announcements on housing policy, expanded internet access, and the return of TikTok for city government have shaped a steady cadence of updates rather than high-volume daily engagement. No major legislative votes, summits, or breaking developments are scheduled inside the resolution window that would typically trigger elevated posting. Historical weekly averages for the official account and mayoral communications align closely with moderate output levels, while higher ranges such as 140-159 reflect only outlier scenarios tied to unforeseen events. This distribution captures the wisdom of crowds assessing routine executive-branch communication rhythms against the absence of near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,357
End Date
May 26, 2026
Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NYC Mayor # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 83%, followed by "140-159" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NYC Mayor # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NYC Mayor # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NYC Mayor # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?" is "20-39" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "140-159" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NYC Mayor # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.