Hana Ghassan's position as incumbent governor of Pará, having assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho's resignation to pursue a Senate seat, underpins trader consensus favoring her re-election bid at 67.5%. Recent polling shows a tight first-round contest with Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), with results from mid-September ranging from Hana at 43% versus Daniel at 39% in one survey to Daniel ahead in another, amid high undecided shares. Her campaign has emphasized continuity in health, infrastructure, and public security, including recent proposals for greater transparency in state health queues and expanded hospital capacity. With the first round scheduled for October 4 and a possible runoff on October 25, market pricing reflects the advantages of incumbency and coalition support over challengers whose support remains fragmented or minimal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHana Ghassan 68%
Dr. Daniel Santos 31%
Éder Mauro 2.0%
Zequinha Marinho <1%
$50,360 Vol.
$50,360 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Hana Ghassan
68%
Dr. Daniel Santos
31%
Éder Mauro
2%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Rogério Barra
<1%
Paulo Rocha
<1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
<1%
Hana Ghassan 68%
Dr. Daniel Santos 31%
Éder Mauro 2.0%
Zequinha Marinho <1%
$50,360 Vol.
$50,360 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Hana Ghassan
$19,045 Vol.
68%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$13,282 Vol.
31%
Éder Mauro
$5,610 Vol.
2%
Zequinha Marinho
$3,075 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Barra
$3,126 Vol.
<1%
Paulo Rocha
$3,108 Vol.
<1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$3,113 Vol.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan's position as incumbent governor of Pará, having assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho's resignation to pursue a Senate seat, underpins trader consensus favoring her re-election bid at 67.5%. Recent polling shows a tight first-round contest with Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), with results from mid-September ranging from Hana at 43% versus Daniel at 39% in one survey to Daniel ahead in another, amid high undecided shares. Her campaign has emphasized continuity in health, infrastructure, and public security, including recent proposals for greater transparency in state health queues and expanded hospital capacity. With the first round scheduled for October 4 and a possible runoff on October 25, market pricing reflects the advantages of incumbency and coalition support over challengers whose support remains fragmented or minimal.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Volume
$50,360End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan's position as incumbent governor of Pará, having assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho's resignation to pursue a Senate seat, underpins trader consensus favoring her re-election bid at 67.5%. Recent polling shows a tight first-round contest with Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), with results from mid-September ranging from Hana at 43% versus Daniel at 39% in one survey to Daniel ahead in another, amid high undecided shares. Her campaign has emphasized continuity in health, infrastructure, and public security, including recent proposals for greater transparency in state health queues and expanded hospital capacity. With the first round scheduled for October 4 and a possible runoff on October 25, market pricing reflects the advantages of incumbency and coalition support over challengers whose support remains fragmented or minimal.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$50,360End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan's position as incumbent governor of Pará, having assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho's resignation to pursue a Senate seat, underpins trader consensus favoring her re-election bid at 67.5%. Recent polling shows a tight first-round contest with Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), with results from mid-September ranging from Hana at 43% versus Daniel at 39% in one survey to Daniel ahead in another, amid high undecided shares. Her campaign has emphasized continuity in health, infrastructure, and public security, including recent proposals for greater transparency in state health queues and expanded hospital capacity. With the first round scheduled for October 4 and a possible runoff on October 25, market pricing reflects the advantages of incumbency and coalition support over challengers whose support remains fragmented or minimal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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