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Politics·Brazil

Amapá Governor Election Winner

icon for Amapá Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Amapá Governor Election Winner

Carlos Cley 27%

Clécio Luís 21%

Jairo Palheta 3.1%

Dr. Furlan 0

Polymarket
NEW

Carlos Cley 27%

Clécio Luís 21%

Jairo Palheta 3.1%

Dr. Furlan 0

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Carlos Cley

Carlos Cley

$20 Vol.

27%

icon for Clécio Luís

Clécio Luís

$20 Vol.

21%

icon for Jairo Palheta

Jairo Palheta

$20 Vol.

3%

icon for Dr. Furlan

Dr. Furlan

$61 Vol.

37%

icon for Marcos Reategui

Marcos Reategui

$40 Vol.

44%

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Amapá gubernatorial contest, trader consensus points to a fragmented field with no dominant candidate ahead of the 2026 vote, as reflected in the tight pricing across Marcos Reategui, Dr. Furlan, Clécio Luís and several others. The incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) seeks reelection amid coalition negotiations involving the Workers’ Party, while ex-Macapá mayor Dr. Furlan (PSD) has formally launched his bid and benefited from family Senate positioning. Recent surveys indicate Furlan holding a lead in head-to-head matchups, yet market pricing underscores uncertainty over alliances, rejection levels and possible second-round scenarios. Developments such as party conventions, campaign funding disclosures and shifts in local economic priorities could widen gaps among contenders before ballots open.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$161
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Amapá gubernatorial contest, trader consensus points to a fragmented field with no dominant candidate ahead of the 2026 vote, as reflected in the tight pricing across Marcos Reategui, Dr. Furlan, Clécio Luís and several others. The incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) seeks reelection amid coalition negotiations involving the Workers’ Party, while ex-Macapá mayor Dr. Furlan (PSD) has formally launched his bid and benefited from family Senate positioning. Recent surveys indicate Furlan holding a lead in head-to-head matchups, yet market pricing underscores uncertainty over alliances, rejection levels and possible second-round scenarios. Developments such as party conventions, campaign funding disclosures and shifts in local economic priorities could widen gaps among contenders before ballots open.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$161
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Amapá Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marcos Reategui" at 44%, followed by "Dr. Furlan" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Amapá Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Amapá Governor Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Amapá Governor Election Winner" is "Marcos Reategui" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dr. Furlan" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Amapá Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.