Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows Styvenson Valentim maintaining a clear lead for first place in the October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates. This leaves a tight scramble for second among Zenaide Maia, Samanda de Lula, Rafael Motta, and Coronel Hélio, with summed first- and second-preference results from the latest Exatus survey placing Zenaide ahead at 32% versus lower figures for the others. Zenaide’s position reflects incumbency advantages and stronger second-choice support in multiple late-August and September surveys, while the multi-candidate field and high undecided shares keep separation narrow. Traders’ consensus on Zenaide for second place aligns with these patterns, though late shifts in voter coalitions or turnout could still alter the ranking before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZenaide Maia 52%
Samanda de Lula 22%
Styvenson Valentim 15.8%
Rafael Motta 12.6%
$26,922 Vol.
$26,922 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Zenaide Maia
58%
Samanda de Lula
22%
Styvenson Valentim
16%
Rafael Motta
10%
Coronel Hélio
1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
<1%
Luciana Mandu
<1%
Professor Guilherme
<1%
Rosália Fernandes
<1%
Tércio Tinôco
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
<1%
Sonia Godeiro
<1%
Zenaide Maia 52%
Samanda de Lula 22%
Styvenson Valentim 15.8%
Rafael Motta 12.6%
$26,922 Vol.
$26,922 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Zenaide Maia
$4,084 Vol.
58%
Samanda de Lula
$9,199 Vol.
22%
Styvenson Valentim
$2,768 Vol.
16%
Rafael Motta
$3,826 Vol.
10%
Coronel Hélio
$903 Vol.
1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
$698 Vol.
<1%
Luciana Mandu
$757 Vol.
<1%
Professor Guilherme
$692 Vol.
<1%
Rosália Fernandes
$802 Vol.
<1%
Tércio Tinôco
$793 Vol.
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
$511 Vol.
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
$715 Vol.
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
$585 Vol.
<1%
Sonia Godeiro
$590 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows Styvenson Valentim maintaining a clear lead for first place in the October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates. This leaves a tight scramble for second among Zenaide Maia, Samanda de Lula, Rafael Motta, and Coronel Hélio, with summed first- and second-preference results from the latest Exatus survey placing Zenaide ahead at 32% versus lower figures for the others. Zenaide’s position reflects incumbency advantages and stronger second-choice support in multiple late-August and September surveys, while the multi-candidate field and high undecided shares keep separation narrow. Traders’ consensus on Zenaide for second place aligns with these patterns, though late shifts in voter coalitions or turnout could still alter the ranking before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Volume
$26,922End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows Styvenson Valentim maintaining a clear lead for first place in the October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates. This leaves a tight scramble for second among Zenaide Maia, Samanda de Lula, Rafael Motta, and Coronel Hélio, with summed first- and second-preference results from the latest Exatus survey placing Zenaide ahead at 32% versus lower figures for the others. Zenaide’s position reflects incumbency advantages and stronger second-choice support in multiple late-August and September surveys, while the multi-candidate field and high undecided shares keep separation narrow. Traders’ consensus on Zenaide for second place aligns with these patterns, though late shifts in voter coalitions or turnout could still alter the ranking before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$26,922End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows Styvenson Valentim maintaining a clear lead for first place in the October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates. This leaves a tight scramble for second among Zenaide Maia, Samanda de Lula, Rafael Motta, and Coronel Hélio, with summed first- and second-preference results from the latest Exatus survey placing Zenaide ahead at 32% versus lower figures for the others. Zenaide’s position reflects incumbency advantages and stronger second-choice support in multiple late-August and September surveys, while the multi-candidate field and high undecided shares keep separation narrow. Traders’ consensus on Zenaide for second place aligns with these patterns, though late shifts in voter coalitions or turnout could still alter the ranking before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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