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Politics·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place

Styvenson Valentim 66%

Sandro Pimentel 41.4%

Sonia Godeiro 38%

Coronel Hélio 36%

Polymarket
NEW

Styvenson Valentim 66%

Sandro Pimentel 41.4%

Sonia Godeiro 38%

Coronel Hélio 36%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$184 Vol.

66%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$85 Vol.

41%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$104 Vol.

38%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$104 Vol.

36%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$104 Vol.

31%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$104 Vol.

31%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$105 Vol.

16%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$104 Vol.

18%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$104 Vol.

16%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$104 Vol.

15%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$104 Vol.

14%

icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$104 Vol.

6%

icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$84 Vol.

6%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$84 Vol.

1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holds the narrowest edge in trader pricing for first place in Rio Grande do Norte’s 2026 Senate contest, reflecting his incumbency advantage and consistent lead in recent intention-to-vote surveys. The race for the state’s two seats under plurality block voting remains fragmented, with Coronel Hélio (PL), Rafael Motta (PDT), and PT-aligned names such as Samanda Alves clustered closely behind in July polling that showed technical ties within margins of error. Candidate registrations and party conventions completed in early August have locked in a crowded field of more than two dozen contenders, diluting support and sustaining volatility. Traders appear to price limited separation until further statewide surveys or campaign events clarify turnout patterns among key regional voting blocs. Late-cycle alliances or endorsements could still shift momentum before the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,478
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holds the narrowest edge in trader pricing for first place in Rio Grande do Norte’s 2026 Senate contest, reflecting his incumbency advantage and consistent lead in recent intention-to-vote surveys. The race for the state’s two seats under plurality block voting remains fragmented, with Coronel Hélio (PL), Rafael Motta (PDT), and PT-aligned names such as Samanda Alves clustered closely behind in July polling that showed technical ties within margins of error. Candidate registrations and party conventions completed in early August have locked in a crowded field of more than two dozen contenders, diluting support and sustaining volatility. Traders appear to price limited separation until further statewide surveys or campaign events clarify turnout patterns among key regional voting blocs. Late-cycle alliances or endorsements could still shift momentum before the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,478
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Styvenson Valentim" at 66%, followed by "Sandro Pimentel" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Styvenson Valentim" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sandro Pimentel" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.