Flávio Bolsonaro holds a clear lead in trader consensus for first place in Acre’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, consistent with the state’s conservative profile and past strong support for the Liberal Party and Bolsonarism. His nomination by the PL, selection of running mate Alfredo Gaspar, and official campaign launch on August 15 have reinforced positioning as the main opposition standard-bearer following his father’s ineligibility. Lula remains the national frontrunner in most surveys, yet Acre-specific polling and regional voting patterns continue to favor the right-wing challenger over fragmented alternatives such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema. The tight national race and early campaign dynamics underscore how local factors in northern states can diverge from broader trends ahead of the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlavio Bolsonaro 85%
Escritor Augusto Cury 28%
Ronaldo Caiado 19%
Pablo Marçal 16%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
75%
Escritor Augusto Cury
28%
Ronaldo Caiado
17%
Pablo Marçal
16%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
15%
Lula
8%
Hertz Dias
6%
Clariana Barao
6%
Renan Santos
6%
Rui Costa Pimenta
6%
Edmilson Costa
4%
Zema
15%
Samara
1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 85%
Escritor Augusto Cury 28%
Ronaldo Caiado 19%
Pablo Marçal 16%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$197 Vol.
75%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$157 Vol.
28%
Ronaldo Caiado
$90 Vol.
17%
Pablo Marçal
$157 Vol.
16%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$145 Vol.
15%
Lula
$70 Vol.
8%
Hertz Dias
$170 Vol.
6%
Clariana Barao
$70 Vol.
6%
Renan Santos
$70 Vol.
6%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$70 Vol.
6%
Edmilson Costa
$70 Vol.
4%
Zema
$157 Vol.
15%
Samara
$157 Vol.
1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a clear lead in trader consensus for first place in Acre’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, consistent with the state’s conservative profile and past strong support for the Liberal Party and Bolsonarism. His nomination by the PL, selection of running mate Alfredo Gaspar, and official campaign launch on August 15 have reinforced positioning as the main opposition standard-bearer following his father’s ineligibility. Lula remains the national frontrunner in most surveys, yet Acre-specific polling and regional voting patterns continue to favor the right-wing challenger over fragmented alternatives such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema. The tight national race and early campaign dynamics underscore how local factors in northern states can diverge from broader trends ahead of the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Volume
$1,582End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a clear lead in trader consensus for first place in Acre’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, consistent with the state’s conservative profile and past strong support for the Liberal Party and Bolsonarism. His nomination by the PL, selection of running mate Alfredo Gaspar, and official campaign launch on August 15 have reinforced positioning as the main opposition standard-bearer following his father’s ineligibility. Lula remains the national frontrunner in most surveys, yet Acre-specific polling and regional voting patterns continue to favor the right-wing challenger over fragmented alternatives such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema. The tight national race and early campaign dynamics underscore how local factors in northern states can diverge from broader trends ahead of the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$1,582End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a clear lead in trader consensus for first place in Acre’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, consistent with the state’s conservative profile and past strong support for the Liberal Party and Bolsonarism. His nomination by the PL, selection of running mate Alfredo Gaspar, and official campaign launch on August 15 have reinforced positioning as the main opposition standard-bearer following his father’s ineligibility. Lula remains the national frontrunner in most surveys, yet Acre-specific polling and regional voting patterns continue to favor the right-wing challenger over fragmented alternatives such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema. The tight national race and early campaign dynamics underscore how local factors in northern states can diverge from broader trends ahead of the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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