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icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós 22%

Luciana Mandu 22%

Professor Guilherme 21%

Gari Wendell Batista 21%

Polymarket
NEW

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós 22%

Luciana Mandu 22%

Professor Guilherme 21%

Gari Wendell Batista 21%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$46 Vol.

22%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$46 Vol.

22%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$46 Vol.

21%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$46 Vol.

21%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$46 Vol.

21%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$46 Vol.

21%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$46 Vol.

21%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$46 Vol.

21%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$46 Vol.

20%

icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$46 Vol.

20%

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$62 Vol.

11%

icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$66 Vol.

8%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$46 Vol.

7%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$46 Vol.

5%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from mid-2026 shows a tight contest for Rio Grande do Norte's two Senate seats, with incumbent Styvenson Valentim leading overall vote intentions but a cluster of challengers—Samanda de Lula, Rafael Motta, Coronel Hélio, and Zenaide Maia—remaining within the margin of error. This fragmentation keeps probabilities for second place distributed among multiple contenders, as no single candidate has consolidated support behind the leader. Party coalitions, including PDT, PT, PL, and PSD alignments, along with undecided voters, continue to shape the field ahead of the October ballot. Late shifts in turnout or endorsements could separate the pack before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$678
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from mid-2026 shows a tight contest for Rio Grande do Norte's two Senate seats, with incumbent Styvenson Valentim leading overall vote intentions but a cluster of challengers—Samanda de Lula, Rafael Motta, Coronel Hélio, and Zenaide Maia—remaining within the margin of error. This fragmentation keeps probabilities for second place distributed among multiple contenders, as no single candidate has consolidated support behind the leader. Party coalitions, including PDT, PT, PL, and PSD alignments, along with undecided voters, continue to shape the field ahead of the October ballot. Late shifts in turnout or endorsements could separate the pack before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$678
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Related

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Will Renato Jaguarão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós" at 23%, followed by "Luciana Mandu" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" is "Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Luciana Mandu" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.