US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife under narco-terrorism charges, with nearly 200 troops deployed into Caracas as part of a brief special forces action. Since then, relations have shifted toward de-escalation, including the release of political prisoners, the reopening of the US embassy in Caracas in March, and formal resumption of diplomatic ties aimed at economic recovery and stability. No further US troop deployments or strikes have been reported through mid-May 2026, with the interim Venezuelan government under Delcy Rodríguez focusing on internal transitions. Trader consensus on renewed entry by upcoming deadlines appears shaped by this post-operation normalization, alongside the absence of new escalatory triggers such as border incidents or policy reversals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,298,270 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
June 30
6%
$1,298,270 Vol.
June 30
$213,507 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife under narco-terrorism charges, with nearly 200 troops deployed into Caracas as part of a brief special forces action. Since then, relations have shifted toward de-escalation, including the release of political prisoners, the reopening of the US embassy in Caracas in March, and formal resumption of diplomatic ties aimed at economic recovery and stability. No further US troop deployments or strikes have been reported through mid-May 2026, with the interim Venezuelan government under Delcy Rodríguez focusing on internal transitions. Trader consensus on renewed entry by upcoming deadlines appears shaped by this post-operation normalization, alongside the absence of new escalatory triggers such as border incidents or policy reversals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,298,270End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife under narco-terrorism charges, with nearly 200 troops deployed into Caracas as part of a brief special forces action. Since then, relations have shifted toward de-escalation, including the release of political prisoners, the reopening of the US embassy in Caracas in March, and formal resumption of diplomatic ties aimed at economic recovery and stability. No further US troop deployments or strikes have been reported through mid-May 2026, with the interim Venezuelan government under Delcy Rodríguez focusing on internal transitions. Trader consensus on renewed entry by upcoming deadlines appears shaped by this post-operation normalization, alongside the absence of new escalatory triggers such as border incidents or policy reversals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,298,270End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military forces conducted a targeted operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife under narco-terrorism charges, with nearly 200 troops deployed into Caracas as part of a brief special forces action. Since then, relations have shifted toward de-escalation, including the release of political prisoners, the reopening of the US embassy in Caracas in March, and formal resumption of diplomatic ties aimed at economic recovery and stability. No further US troop deployments or strikes have been reported through mid-May 2026, with the interim Venezuelan government under Delcy Rodríguez focusing on internal transitions. Trader consensus on renewed entry by upcoming deadlines appears shaped by this post-operation normalization, alongside the absence of new escalatory triggers such as border incidents or policy reversals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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