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icon for Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Mike Pieciak 9%

Esther Charlestin 2.5%

Charity Clark 2.1%

Aly Richards 0

Polymarket

$65,519 Vol.

Mike Pieciak 9%

Esther Charlestin 2.5%

Charity Clark 2.1%

Aly Richards 0

Polymarket

$65,519 Vol.

Mike Pieciak

$5,109 Vol.

9%

Esther Charlestin

$8,818 Vol.

3%

Charity Clark

$51,552 Vol.

2%

Aly Richards

$40 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Aly Richards holds the lead in trader consensus for Vermont’s August 11 Democratic primary because her early April entry as a former Let’s Grow Kids CEO and child-care policy architect quickly consolidated support around affordability and rural economic issues. State Treasurer Mike Pieciak trails as he has signaled greater interest in seeking another term in his current office rather than mounting a gubernatorial bid. Attorney General Charity Clark’s odds have declined after she formally launched a reelection campaign for her existing post in early May. Esther Charlestin remains a marginal contender with limited statewide visibility. The May 28 filing deadline and absence of public polling continue to shape assessments of whether additional candidates could still enter before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$65,519
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Aly Richards holds the lead in trader consensus for Vermont’s August 11 Democratic primary because her early April entry as a former Let’s Grow Kids CEO and child-care policy architect quickly consolidated support around affordability and rural economic issues. State Treasurer Mike Pieciak trails as he has signaled greater interest in seeking another term in his current office rather than mounting a gubernatorial bid. Attorney General Charity Clark’s odds have declined after she formally launched a reelection campaign for her existing post in early May. Esther Charlestin remains a marginal contender with limited statewide visibility. The May 28 filing deadline and absence of public polling continue to shape assessments of whether additional candidates could still enter before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$65,519
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aly Richards" at 52%, followed by "Mike Pieciak" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $65.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Aly Richards" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mike Pieciak" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.