Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains concentrated among nations that joined the Abraham Accords framework or earlier agreements, while 29 UN member states, primarily Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation members, continue to withhold formal recognition as of early 2026. Recent multilateral statements from foreign ministers, including those from Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Egypt, have focused on West Bank developments and calls for Palestinian state pathways, reinforcing the linkage many holdout governments maintain between recognition and progress on that issue. Leadership transitions in Syria have prompted informal signals of possible future ties, yet no new formal recognitions by major holdouts have occurred in the past several months. With the June 30 resolution deadline approaching, scheduled regional summits and any bilateral announcements in the coming weeks represent the primary near-term catalysts that could influence outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
$336,093 Vol.

North Korea
2%

Cuba
1%

Saudi Arabia
2%

Lebanon
4%

Afghanistan
1%

Iraq
1%

Pakistan
1%

Syria
3%

Venezuela
2%

Tunisia
1%

Kuwait
4%

Qatar
2%

Indonesia
1%

Malaysia
1%

Bangladesh
3%
$336,093 Vol.

North Korea
2%

Cuba
1%

Saudi Arabia
2%

Lebanon
4%

Afghanistan
1%

Iraq
1%

Pakistan
1%

Syria
3%

Venezuela
2%

Tunisia
1%

Kuwait
4%

Qatar
2%

Indonesia
1%

Malaysia
1%

Bangladesh
3%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains concentrated among nations that joined the Abraham Accords framework or earlier agreements, while 29 UN member states, primarily Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation members, continue to withhold formal recognition as of early 2026. Recent multilateral statements from foreign ministers, including those from Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Egypt, have focused on West Bank developments and calls for Palestinian state pathways, reinforcing the linkage many holdout governments maintain between recognition and progress on that issue. Leadership transitions in Syria have prompted informal signals of possible future ties, yet no new formal recognitions by major holdouts have occurred in the past several months. With the June 30 resolution deadline approaching, scheduled regional summits and any bilateral announcements in the coming weeks represent the primary near-term catalysts that could influence outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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