President Masoud Pezeshkian continues to hold office without any vacancy, resignation, or confirmed incapacity that would trigger Iran's constitutional requirement for a snap presidential election within fifty days, with the Guardian Council designating an interim leader. Trader consensus reflects this absence of a triggering event over the past thirty days, despite earlier unconfirmed reports of internal strains or health concerns that did not materialize. Pezeshkian's public schedule, including engagements with the new supreme leader, remains active, and the next regular four-year cycle falls well beyond June 30. A sudden leadership transition before the resolution date stands as the primary realistic scenario that could reopen the possibility of an early vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
$698,430 Vol.
$698,430 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$698,430 Vol.
$698,430 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Masoud Pezeshkian continues to hold office without any vacancy, resignation, or confirmed incapacity that would trigger Iran's constitutional requirement for a snap presidential election within fifty days, with the Guardian Council designating an interim leader. Trader consensus reflects this absence of a triggering event over the past thirty days, despite earlier unconfirmed reports of internal strains or health concerns that did not materialize. Pezeshkian's public schedule, including engagements with the new supreme leader, remains active, and the next regular four-year cycle falls well beyond June 30. A sudden leadership transition before the resolution date stands as the primary realistic scenario that could reopen the possibility of an early vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Volume
$698,430End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Masoud Pezeshkian continues to hold office without any vacancy, resignation, or confirmed incapacity that would trigger Iran's constitutional requirement for a snap presidential election within fifty days, with the Guardian Council designating an interim leader. Trader consensus reflects this absence of a triggering event over the past thirty days, despite earlier unconfirmed reports of internal strains or health concerns that did not materialize. Pezeshkian's public schedule, including engagements with the new supreme leader, remains active, and the next regular four-year cycle falls well beyond June 30. A sudden leadership transition before the resolution date stands as the primary realistic scenario that could reopen the possibility of an early vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$698,430End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Masoud Pezeshkian continues to hold office without any vacancy, resignation, or confirmed incapacity that would trigger Iran's constitutional requirement for a snap presidential election within fifty days, with the Guardian Council designating an interim leader. Trader consensus reflects this absence of a triggering event over the past thirty days, despite earlier unconfirmed reports of internal strains or health concerns that did not materialize. Pezeshkian's public schedule, including engagements with the new supreme leader, remains active, and the next regular four-year cycle falls well beyond June 30. A sudden leadership transition before the resolution date stands as the primary realistic scenario that could reopen the possibility of an early vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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