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icon for Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

icon for Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

$46,063 Vol.

May 31, 2026
Polymarket

$46,063 Vol.

Polymarket

May 7

$22,345 Vol.

1%

May 8

$1,294 Vol.

1%

May 9

$2,859 Vol.

1%

May 10

$784 Vol.

41%

May 11

$2,981 Vol.

<1%

May 12

$913 Vol.

4%

May 13

$2,263 Vol.

1%

May 14

$2,619 Vol.

1%

May 15

$694 Vol.

<1%

May 16

$773 Vol.

1%

May 17

$1,035 Vol.

3%

May 18

$1,597 Vol.

13%

May 19

$0 Vol.

48%

May 20

$0 Vol.

49%

May 21

$0 Vol.

49%

May 22

$0 Vol.

43%

May 23

$43 Vol.

44%

May 24

$0 Vol.

42%

May 25

$0 Vol.

49%

May 26

$0 Vol.

42%

May 27

$0 Vol.

49%

May 28

$0 Vol.

42%

May 29

$0 Vol.

42%

May 30

$0 Vol.

49%

May 31

$0 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.President Trump has maintained a steady pace of executive actions in his second term, issuing dozens of orders through mid-May 2026 on topics ranging from sanctions targeting Cuban repression to new federal platforms for retirement savings and improvements in government contracting efficiency. These steps align with longstanding administration priorities on national security enforcement, workforce policy, and regulatory streamlining. Market participants monitor the White House schedule for further directives on immigration enforcement, trade measures, or agency oversight, noting that the president retains broad latitude to act unilaterally ahead of any legislative calendar. Recent patterns suggest continued use of this tool when congressional timelines lag.

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
Volume
$46,063
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.President Trump has maintained a steady pace of executive actions in his second term, issuing dozens of orders through mid-May 2026 on topics ranging from sanctions targeting Cuban repression to new federal platforms for retirement savings and improvements in government contracting efficiency. These steps align with longstanding administration priorities on national security enforcement, workforce policy, and regulatory streamlining. Market participants monitor the White House schedule for further directives on immigration enforcement, trade measures, or agency oversight, noting that the president retains broad latitude to act unilaterally ahead of any legislative calendar. Recent patterns suggest continued use of this tool when congressional timelines lag.

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify.

This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.

If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.

In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
Volume
$46,063
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump sign an executive order on...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "May 1" at 100%, followed by "May 30" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump sign an executive order on...?" has generated $46.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump sign an executive order on...?," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Trump sign an executive order on...?" is "May 1" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "May 30" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump sign an executive order on...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.