Monique Taylor secured a commanding lead in trader assessments for second place in the Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election due to her established profile as a former NDP MPP for the neighboring Hamilton Mountain riding and the party's strong local organization. The September 3 vote followed Progressive Conservative MPP Neil Lumsden’s retirement, with Taylor nominated in late July and backed by unions such as the United Steelworkers. Official results showed her capturing 32.9 percent, well ahead of the Liberal candidate at 23.5 percent and minor-party contenders below 3 percent, reflecting a 15-point NDP swing in a riding the PCs had held since 2022. Pre-election polling indicated a tight PC-Liberal contest, yet Taylor’s name recognition and consolidation of non-Conservative support produced the observed outcome. Late shifts in turnout or unexpected endorsements could have narrowed the margin, though none materialized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMonique Taylor 96%
Heino Doessing 9%
Jeff Beattie <1%
Pascale Marchand <1%
$1,026 Vol.
$1,026 Vol.
Jeff Beattie
Non
Heino Doessing
Non
Monique Taylor
Oui
Pascale Marchand
Non
Heather Curnew
Non
Wieslawa Derlatka
Non
Monique Taylor 96%
Heino Doessing 9%
Jeff Beattie <1%
Pascale Marchand <1%
$1,026 Vol.
$1,026 Vol.
Jeff Beattie
Non
Heino Doessing
Non
Monique Taylor
Oui
Pascale Marchand
Non
Heather Curnew
Non
Wieslawa Derlatka
Non
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.elections.on.ca/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Source de résolution
https://www.elections.on.ca/Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Monique Taylor secured a commanding lead in trader assessments for second place in the Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election due to her established profile as a former NDP MPP for the neighboring Hamilton Mountain riding and the party's strong local organization. The September 3 vote followed Progressive Conservative MPP Neil Lumsden’s retirement, with Taylor nominated in late July and backed by unions such as the United Steelworkers. Official results showed her capturing 32.9 percent, well ahead of the Liberal candidate at 23.5 percent and minor-party contenders below 3 percent, reflecting a 15-point NDP swing in a riding the PCs had held since 2022. Pre-election polling indicated a tight PC-Liberal contest, yet Taylor’s name recognition and consolidation of non-Conservative support produced the observed outcome. Late shifts in turnout or unexpected endorsements could have narrowed the margin, though none materialized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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