**Traders have converged on 21°C as the near-certain outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on June 11, 2026, reflecting short-range forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models.** Typical early-June conditions in the Yangtze Delta—high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and light winds under the East Asian monsoon—limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near 20–22°C. Recent observations show daytime highs reaching 32–34°C with minimal diurnal range, consistent with climatological averages of 21–23°C for mid-June minima. The market-implied 100% probability on 21°C indicates skin-in-the-game alignment around the official forecast threshold, where even small revisions could shift resolution. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear skies or a model update pushing the minimum outside the 21°C bracket by measurement time at the primary Shanghai station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 11 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 11 juin ?
21°C 100.0%
14°C ou moins <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$30,870 Vol.
$30,870 Vol.
11 juin 2026
14°C ou moins
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Oui
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C ou plus
Non
21°C 100.0%
14°C ou moins <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$30,870 Vol.
$30,870 Vol.
11 juin 2026
14°C ou moins
$582 Vol.
Non
15°C
$938 Vol.
Non
16°C
$628 Vol.
Non
17°C
$2,207 Vol.
Non
18°C
$2,031 Vol.
Non
19°C
$1,452 Vol.
Non
20°C
$5,636 Vol.
Non
21°C
$8,961 Vol.
Oui
22°C
$1,588 Vol.
Non
23°C
$1,687 Vol.
Non
24°C ou plus
$5,162 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on 21°C as the near-certain outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on June 11, 2026, reflecting short-range forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models.** Typical early-June conditions in the Yangtze Delta—high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and light winds under the East Asian monsoon—limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near 20–22°C. Recent observations show daytime highs reaching 32–34°C with minimal diurnal range, consistent with climatological averages of 21–23°C for mid-June minima. The market-implied 100% probability on 21°C indicates skin-in-the-game alignment around the official forecast threshold, where even small revisions could shift resolution. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear skies or a model update pushing the minimum outside the 21°C bracket by measurement time at the primary Shanghai station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$30,870Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on 21°C as the near-certain outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on June 11, 2026, reflecting short-range forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models.** Typical early-June conditions in the Yangtze Delta—high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and light winds under the East Asian monsoon—limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near 20–22°C. Recent observations show daytime highs reaching 32–34°C with minimal diurnal range, consistent with climatological averages of 21–23°C for mid-June minima. The market-implied 100% probability on 21°C indicates skin-in-the-game alignment around the official forecast threshold, where even small revisions could shift resolution. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear skies or a model update pushing the minimum outside the 21°C bracket by measurement time at the primary Shanghai station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,870Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Traders have converged on 21°C as the near-certain outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on June 11, 2026, reflecting short-range forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models.** Typical early-June conditions in the Yangtze Delta—high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and light winds under the East Asian monsoon—limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near 20–22°C. Recent observations show daytime highs reaching 32–34°C with minimal diurnal range, consistent with climatological averages of 21–23°C for mid-June minima. The market-implied 100% probability on 21°C indicates skin-in-the-game alignment around the official forecast threshold, where even small revisions could shift resolution. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear skies or a model update pushing the minimum outside the 21°C bracket by measurement time at the primary Shanghai station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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