Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round because recent national polls consistently place him as the clear runner-up to incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. The Liberal Party nominee has consolidated right-wing support following his father Jair Bolsonaro’s legal disqualification and formal endorsement, with surveys from August showing Flávio in the 28–40% range behind Lula while other right-leaning contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos remain in single digits. Temporary damage from May–June audio revelations tied to the Banco Master case and a brief public rift with Michelle Bolsonaro has not reversed this positioning, as Flávio’s numbers stabilized after reconciliation and convention nomination. Lula’s incumbency and broader coalition keep him ahead in first-round simulations, leaving limited room for other names to challenge for second.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 83%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 8.3%
レナン・サントス 5.8%
ロナルド・カイアド 1.1%
$4,622,962 Vol.
$4,622,962 Vol.
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
83%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ
8%
レナン・サントス
6%
ロナルド・カイアド
1%
ロメウ・ゼマ
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
<1%
アルド・ヘベロ
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
<1%
テレーザ・クリスティナ
<1%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ 83%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ 8.3%
レナン・サントス 5.8%
ロナルド・カイアド 1.1%
$4,622,962 Vol.
$4,622,962 Vol.
2026/10/04
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$252,091 Vol.
83%
ルイス・イナシオ・ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ
$240,910 Vol.
8%
レナン・サントス
$1,100,583 Vol.
6%
ロナルド・カイアド
$353,742 Vol.
1%
ロメウ・ゼマ
$299,390 Vol.
<1%
フェルナンド・ハダジ
$692,471 Vol.
<1%
ミシェル・ボルソナロ
$133,334 Vol.
<1%
ジャイール・ボルソナロ
$128,929 Vol.
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
$104,432 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・ボルソナロ
$101,530 Vol.
<1%
アルド・ヘベロ
$62,377 Vol.
<1%
タルシジオ・デ・フレイタス
$197,924 Vol.
<1%
ハチーニョ・ジュニオール
$673,276 Vol.
<1%
ジェラウド・アルキミン
$154,277 Vol.
<1%
エドゥアルド・レイチ
$71,236 Vol.
<1%
エルデル・バルバリョ
$20,972 Vol.
<1%
テレーザ・クリスティナ
$35,489 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round because recent national polls consistently place him as the clear runner-up to incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. The Liberal Party nominee has consolidated right-wing support following his father Jair Bolsonaro’s legal disqualification and formal endorsement, with surveys from August showing Flávio in the 28–40% range behind Lula while other right-leaning contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos remain in single digits. Temporary damage from May–June audio revelations tied to the Banco Master case and a brief public rift with Michelle Bolsonaro has not reversed this positioning, as Flávio’s numbers stabilized after reconciliation and convention nomination. Lula’s incumbency and broader coalition keep him ahead in first-round simulations, leaving limited room for other names to challenge for second.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
音量
$4,622,962終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round because recent national polls consistently place him as the clear runner-up to incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. The Liberal Party nominee has consolidated right-wing support following his father Jair Bolsonaro’s legal disqualification and formal endorsement, with surveys from August showing Flávio in the 28–40% range behind Lula while other right-leaning contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos remain in single digits. Temporary damage from May–June audio revelations tied to the Banco Master case and a brief public rift with Michelle Bolsonaro has not reversed this positioning, as Flávio’s numbers stabilized after reconciliation and convention nomination. Lula’s incumbency and broader coalition keep him ahead in first-round simulations, leaving limited room for other names to challenge for second.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$4,622,962終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round because recent national polls consistently place him as the clear runner-up to incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. The Liberal Party nominee has consolidated right-wing support following his father Jair Bolsonaro’s legal disqualification and formal endorsement, with surveys from August showing Flávio in the 28–40% range behind Lula while other right-leaning contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos remain in single digits. Temporary damage from May–June audio revelations tied to the Banco Master case and a brief public rift with Michelle Bolsonaro has not reversed this positioning, as Flávio’s numbers stabilized after reconciliation and convention nomination. Lula’s incumbency and broader coalition keep him ahead in first-round simulations, leaving limited room for other names to challenge for second.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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