Republican incumbent Scott Franklin benefits from structural advantages in Florida’s 18th Congressional District, including a partisan voting index that favors the GOP by double digits and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus at 82.5% for the Republican Party reflects these fundamentals plus Franklin’s unchallenged path through the August 18 primary and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers. The May 4 signing of a new congressional map by Governor Ron DeSantis further entrenched the seat as solid Republican territory, projecting a statewide 24-4 GOP advantage and reducing any Democratic path in the November 3 general election. Democratic primary contenders continue to split resources ahead of their August contest, with no recent polling indicating shifts in the race’s outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,987 Vol.
$13,987 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
83%
民主党
15%
$13,987 Vol.
$13,987 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,382 Vol.
83%
民主党
$6,605 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Scott Franklin benefits from structural advantages in Florida’s 18th Congressional District, including a partisan voting index that favors the GOP by double digits and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus at 82.5% for the Republican Party reflects these fundamentals plus Franklin’s unchallenged path through the August 18 primary and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers. The May 4 signing of a new congressional map by Governor Ron DeSantis further entrenched the seat as solid Republican territory, projecting a statewide 24-4 GOP advantage and reducing any Democratic path in the November 3 general election. Democratic primary contenders continue to split resources ahead of their August contest, with no recent polling indicating shifts in the race’s outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$13,987終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Scott Franklin benefits from structural advantages in Florida’s 18th Congressional District, including a partisan voting index that favors the GOP by double digits and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus at 82.5% for the Republican Party reflects these fundamentals plus Franklin’s unchallenged path through the August 18 primary and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers. The May 4 signing of a new congressional map by Governor Ron DeSantis further entrenched the seat as solid Republican territory, projecting a statewide 24-4 GOP advantage and reducing any Democratic path in the November 3 general election. Democratic primary contenders continue to split resources ahead of their August contest, with no recent polling indicating shifts in the race’s outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,987終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Scott Franklin benefits from structural advantages in Florida’s 18th Congressional District, including a partisan voting index that favors the GOP by double digits and consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus at 82.5% for the Republican Party reflects these fundamentals plus Franklin’s unchallenged path through the August 18 primary and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers. The May 4 signing of a new congressional map by Governor Ron DeSantis further entrenched the seat as solid Republican territory, projecting a statewide 24-4 GOP advantage and reducing any Democratic path in the November 3 general election. Democratic primary contenders continue to split resources ahead of their August contest, with no recent polling indicating shifts in the race’s outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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