Recent polls position New Zealand First as the frontrunner for third place in the November 2026 general election party vote under the mixed-member proportional system, with support holding steady in the 10–15 percent range across surveys from Taxpayers’ Union–Curia, Roy Morgan, and Talbot Mills. National’s share has fallen below 30 percent amid leadership scrutiny and coalition tensions, while Labour maintains a lead near 32–36 percent; this shift has lifted New Zealand First ahead of the Greens, whose support sits around 7–11 percent, and ACT, polling between 6.5–10.5 percent. Economic pressures and voter preference for the party’s populist positioning continue to underpin its gains, with the November timeline leaving limited scope for major reversals before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日New Zealand First Party 72%
Green Party 29%
National Party 7%
ACT New Zealand 6.2%
新規
新規
2026/11/07
New Zealand First Party
61%
Green Party
26%
National Party
7%
ACT New Zealand
6%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Labour Party
1%
New Zealand First Party 72%
Green Party 29%
National Party 7%
ACT New Zealand 6.2%
新規
新規
2026/11/07
New Zealand First Party
$239 Vol.
61%
Green Party
$318 Vol.
26%
National Party
$144 Vol.
7%
ACT New Zealand
$273 Vol.
6%
Te Pāti Māori
$246 Vol.
1%
Labour Party
$367 Vol.
1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls position New Zealand First as the frontrunner for third place in the November 2026 general election party vote under the mixed-member proportional system, with support holding steady in the 10–15 percent range across surveys from Taxpayers’ Union–Curia, Roy Morgan, and Talbot Mills. National’s share has fallen below 30 percent amid leadership scrutiny and coalition tensions, while Labour maintains a lead near 32–36 percent; this shift has lifted New Zealand First ahead of the Greens, whose support sits around 7–11 percent, and ACT, polling between 6.5–10.5 percent. Economic pressures and voter preference for the party’s populist positioning continue to underpin its gains, with the November timeline leaving limited scope for major reversals before election day.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
音量
$1,586終了日
2026/11/07マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls position New Zealand First as the frontrunner for third place in the November 2026 general election party vote under the mixed-member proportional system, with support holding steady in the 10–15 percent range across surveys from Taxpayers’ Union–Curia, Roy Morgan, and Talbot Mills. National’s share has fallen below 30 percent amid leadership scrutiny and coalition tensions, while Labour maintains a lead near 32–36 percent; this shift has lifted New Zealand First ahead of the Greens, whose support sits around 7–11 percent, and ACT, polling between 6.5–10.5 percent. Economic pressures and voter preference for the party’s populist positioning continue to underpin its gains, with the November timeline leaving limited scope for major reversals before election day.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
音量
$1,586終了日
2026/11/07マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls position New Zealand First as the frontrunner for third place in the November 2026 general election party vote under the mixed-member proportional system, with support holding steady in the 10–15 percent range across surveys from Taxpayers’ Union–Curia, Roy Morgan, and Talbot Mills. National’s share has fallen below 30 percent amid leadership scrutiny and coalition tensions, while Labour maintains a lead near 32–36 percent; this shift has lifted New Zealand First ahead of the Greens, whose support sits around 7–11 percent, and ACT, polling between 6.5–10.5 percent. Economic pressures and voter preference for the party’s populist positioning continue to underpin its gains, with the November timeline leaving limited scope for major reversals before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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