Recent polling averages place National and Labour in a close contest for first and second, leaving New Zealand First and the Green Party as the primary contenders for third amid support levels around 8–12 percent. New Zealand First benefits from consistent mid-teens to low-double-digit results across Roy Morgan, Curia, and Verian surveys through mid-August 2026, reinforced by its coalition role and established voter base. The Greens have fluctuated near 10–13 percent but trail in several rolling averages. The Opportunity Party’s surge to 8 percent in the latest 1News-Verian poll introduces volatility for lower rankings, though it has not yet displaced the frontrunners for third. Traders’ consensus reflects these patterns three months before the November 7 election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 2.1%
National Party 1.2%
$12,834 Vol.
$12,834 Vol.
2026/11/07
New Zealand First Party
53%
Green Party
37%
ACT New Zealand
2%
National Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 2.1%
National Party 1.2%
$12,834 Vol.
$12,834 Vol.
2026/11/07
New Zealand First Party
$4,706 Vol.
53%
Green Party
$5,172 Vol.
37%
ACT New Zealand
$702 Vol.
2%
National Party
$415 Vol.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$774 Vol.
<1%
Labour Party
$1,065 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages place National and Labour in a close contest for first and second, leaving New Zealand First and the Green Party as the primary contenders for third amid support levels around 8–12 percent. New Zealand First benefits from consistent mid-teens to low-double-digit results across Roy Morgan, Curia, and Verian surveys through mid-August 2026, reinforced by its coalition role and established voter base. The Greens have fluctuated near 10–13 percent but trail in several rolling averages. The Opportunity Party’s surge to 8 percent in the latest 1News-Verian poll introduces volatility for lower rankings, though it has not yet displaced the frontrunners for third. Traders’ consensus reflects these patterns three months before the November 7 election.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
音量
$12,834終了日
2026/11/07マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages place National and Labour in a close contest for first and second, leaving New Zealand First and the Green Party as the primary contenders for third amid support levels around 8–12 percent. New Zealand First benefits from consistent mid-teens to low-double-digit results across Roy Morgan, Curia, and Verian surveys through mid-August 2026, reinforced by its coalition role and established voter base. The Greens have fluctuated near 10–13 percent but trail in several rolling averages. The Opportunity Party’s surge to 8 percent in the latest 1News-Verian poll introduces volatility for lower rankings, though it has not yet displaced the frontrunners for third. Traders’ consensus reflects these patterns three months before the November 7 election.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
音量
$12,834終了日
2026/11/07マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place National and Labour in a close contest for first and second, leaving New Zealand First and the Green Party as the primary contenders for third amid support levels around 8–12 percent. New Zealand First benefits from consistent mid-teens to low-double-digit results across Roy Morgan, Curia, and Verian surveys through mid-August 2026, reinforced by its coalition role and established voter base. The Greens have fluctuated near 10–13 percent but trail in several rolling averages. The Opportunity Party’s surge to 8 percent in the latest 1News-Verian poll introduces volatility for lower rankings, though it has not yet displaced the frontrunners for third. Traders’ consensus reflects these patterns three months before the November 7 election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日関連
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
35%
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