Dr. Daniel Santos maintains a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Pará governor race, reflecting recent polling that positions him ahead of Hana Ghassan amid a fragmented field that includes Éder Mauro and several lower-polling contenders. The contest remains tight because high undecided rates near 30 percent and shifting alliances continue to compress margins, with Santos drawing Bolsonarist support and organizational momentum while Ghassan benefits from the endorsement of popular former governor Helder Barbalho and MDB infrastructure. Primary factors include candidate positioning ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, variable turnout expectations in key regions, and limited name recognition for many alternatives. Any movement in head-to-head polling, major party endorsements, or late campaign events could widen separation before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ハナ・ガッサン 49%
ダニエル・サントス博士 42%
エデル・マウロ 8%
パウロ・ロシャ 1.2%
$12,591 Vol.
$12,591 Vol.
2026/10/05
ハナ・ガッサン
49%
ダニエル・サントス博士
42%
エデル・マウロ
8%
パウロ・ロシャ
1%
ジルセウ・テン・カテン
1%
ロジェリオ・バッハ
1%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ
<1%
ハナ・ガッサン 49%
ダニエル・サントス博士 42%
エデル・マウロ 8%
パウロ・ロシャ 1.2%
$12,591 Vol.
$12,591 Vol.
2026/10/05
ハナ・ガッサン
$4,944 Vol.
49%
ダニエル・サントス博士
$4,472 Vol.
42%
エデル・マウロ
$1,015 Vol.
8%
パウロ・ロシャ
$592 Vol.
1%
ジルセウ・テン・カテン
$539 Vol.
1%
ロジェリオ・バッハ
$514 Vol.
1%
ゼキーニャ・マリーニョ
$514 Vol.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Daniel Santos maintains a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Pará governor race, reflecting recent polling that positions him ahead of Hana Ghassan amid a fragmented field that includes Éder Mauro and several lower-polling contenders. The contest remains tight because high undecided rates near 30 percent and shifting alliances continue to compress margins, with Santos drawing Bolsonarist support and organizational momentum while Ghassan benefits from the endorsement of popular former governor Helder Barbalho and MDB infrastructure. Primary factors include candidate positioning ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, variable turnout expectations in key regions, and limited name recognition for many alternatives. Any movement in head-to-head polling, major party endorsements, or late campaign events could widen separation before election day.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
音量
$12,591終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Daniel Santos maintains a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Pará governor race, reflecting recent polling that positions him ahead of Hana Ghassan amid a fragmented field that includes Éder Mauro and several lower-polling contenders. The contest remains tight because high undecided rates near 30 percent and shifting alliances continue to compress margins, with Santos drawing Bolsonarist support and organizational momentum while Ghassan benefits from the endorsement of popular former governor Helder Barbalho and MDB infrastructure. Primary factors include candidate positioning ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, variable turnout expectations in key regions, and limited name recognition for many alternatives. Any movement in head-to-head polling, major party endorsements, or late campaign events could widen separation before election day.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$12,591終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Daniel Santos maintains a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Pará governor race, reflecting recent polling that positions him ahead of Hana Ghassan amid a fragmented field that includes Éder Mauro and several lower-polling contenders. The contest remains tight because high undecided rates near 30 percent and shifting alliances continue to compress margins, with Santos drawing Bolsonarist support and organizational momentum while Ghassan benefits from the endorsement of popular former governor Helder Barbalho and MDB infrastructure. Primary factors include candidate positioning ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, variable turnout expectations in key regions, and limited name recognition for many alternatives. Any movement in head-to-head polling, major party endorsements, or late campaign events could widen separation before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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