United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Tyumen Oblast Duma election market due to its established regional dominance, extensive candidate registration across single-mandate districts and the party-list component, and substantial campaign financing ahead of the September 18-20 vote. The party secured first position on the ballot through lottery and fields dozens of incumbents alongside new nominees following internal primaries, while opposition groups such as LDPR, CPRF, A Just Russia, Communists of Russia, New People, and the Party of Pensioners operate with far smaller resources and limited prior seat totals. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system. Late shifts in turnout patterns across Tyumen, Khanty-Mansi, and Yamal-Nenets districts or unexpected voter mobilization could still alter final seat distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日United Russia 96.4%
LDPR <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
New People <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
United Russia
96%
LDPR
1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
New People
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
CPRF
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 96.4%
LDPR <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
New People <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
United Russia
$2,101 Vol.
96%
LDPR
$493 Vol.
1%
Communists of Russia
$309 Vol.
<1%
New People
$534 Vol.
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$360 Vol.
<1%
CPRF
$313 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$455 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Tyumen Oblast Duma election market due to its established regional dominance, extensive candidate registration across single-mandate districts and the party-list component, and substantial campaign financing ahead of the September 18-20 vote. The party secured first position on the ballot through lottery and fields dozens of incumbents alongside new nominees following internal primaries, while opposition groups such as LDPR, CPRF, A Just Russia, Communists of Russia, New People, and the Party of Pensioners operate with far smaller resources and limited prior seat totals. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system. Late shifts in turnout patterns across Tyumen, Khanty-Mansi, and Yamal-Nenets districts or unexpected voter mobilization could still alter final seat distribution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
音量
$4,564終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Tyumen Oblast Duma election market due to its established regional dominance, extensive candidate registration across single-mandate districts and the party-list component, and substantial campaign financing ahead of the September 18-20 vote. The party secured first position on the ballot through lottery and fields dozens of incumbents alongside new nominees following internal primaries, while opposition groups such as LDPR, CPRF, A Just Russia, Communists of Russia, New People, and the Party of Pensioners operate with far smaller resources and limited prior seat totals. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system. Late shifts in turnout patterns across Tyumen, Khanty-Mansi, and Yamal-Nenets districts or unexpected voter mobilization could still alter final seat distribution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
音量
$4,564終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Tyumen Oblast Duma election market due to its established regional dominance, extensive candidate registration across single-mandate districts and the party-list component, and substantial campaign financing ahead of the September 18-20 vote. The party secured first position on the ballot through lottery and fields dozens of incumbents alongside new nominees following internal primaries, while opposition groups such as LDPR, CPRF, A Just Russia, Communists of Russia, New People, and the Party of Pensioners operate with far smaller resources and limited prior seat totals. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system. Late shifts in turnout patterns across Tyumen, Khanty-Mansi, and Yamal-Nenets districts or unexpected voter mobilization could still alter final seat distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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