Traders assign an 89.5 percent implied probability that no new country will join the Abraham Accords by June 30, reflecting the absence of finalized bilateral normalization agreements in the narrow remaining window. Kazakhstan completed its accession in early 2026 after a November 2025 announcement, while Somaliland’s pledge following Israel’s December 2025 recognition has not advanced to formal documentation. Saudi Arabia continues to link any normalization to concrete progress on a Palestinian state, and talks with candidates such as Syria or Lebanon remain stalled amid ongoing regional security concerns. With roughly six weeks until the resolution date, the multi-step process of negotiations, announcements, and signings offers limited scope for additional members to meet the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$24,753 Vol.
$24,753 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$24,753 Vol.
$24,753 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign an 89.5 percent implied probability that no new country will join the Abraham Accords by June 30, reflecting the absence of finalized bilateral normalization agreements in the narrow remaining window. Kazakhstan completed its accession in early 2026 after a November 2025 announcement, while Somaliland’s pledge following Israel’s December 2025 recognition has not advanced to formal documentation. Saudi Arabia continues to link any normalization to concrete progress on a Palestinian state, and talks with candidates such as Syria or Lebanon remain stalled amid ongoing regional security concerns. With roughly six weeks until the resolution date, the multi-step process of negotiations, announcements, and signings offers limited scope for additional members to meet the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$24,753終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign an 89.5 percent implied probability that no new country will join the Abraham Accords by June 30, reflecting the absence of finalized bilateral normalization agreements in the narrow remaining window. Kazakhstan completed its accession in early 2026 after a November 2025 announcement, while Somaliland’s pledge following Israel’s December 2025 recognition has not advanced to formal documentation. Saudi Arabia continues to link any normalization to concrete progress on a Palestinian state, and talks with candidates such as Syria or Lebanon remain stalled amid ongoing regional security concerns. With roughly six weeks until the resolution date, the multi-step process of negotiations, announcements, and signings offers limited scope for additional members to meet the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$24,753終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign an 89.5 percent implied probability that no new country will join the Abraham Accords by June 30, reflecting the absence of finalized bilateral normalization agreements in the narrow remaining window. Kazakhstan completed its accession in early 2026 after a November 2025 announcement, while Somaliland’s pledge following Israel’s December 2025 recognition has not advanced to formal documentation. Saudi Arabia continues to link any normalization to concrete progress on a Palestinian state, and talks with candidates such as Syria or Lebanon remain stalled amid ongoing regional security concerns. With roughly six weeks until the resolution date, the multi-step process of negotiations, announcements, and signings offers limited scope for additional members to meet the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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