Premier Danielle Smith’s government scheduled an October 19, 2026 referendum that asks Albertans whether the province should remain in Canada or begin the constitutional process toward a future binding vote on separation. Multiple polls conducted through mid-2026 show consistent majority support for remaining, with recent Ipsos and Angus Reid surveys indicating roughly 67-72 percent favor staying in Canada and only 18-32 percent back pursuing separation. Support for the separation option has declined from earlier 2026 readings. The provincial question preempts citizen-initiated petitions for a direct independence ballot, and the referendum’s non-binding nature on separation itself further limits its immediate impact. These factors have produced trader consensus that voters will reject the path to independence proceedings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
6% 確率
$253,949 Vol.
$253,949 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
6% 確率
$253,949 Vol.
$253,949 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Premier Danielle Smith’s government scheduled an October 19, 2026 referendum that asks Albertans whether the province should remain in Canada or begin the constitutional process toward a future binding vote on separation. Multiple polls conducted through mid-2026 show consistent majority support for remaining, with recent Ipsos and Angus Reid surveys indicating roughly 67-72 percent favor staying in Canada and only 18-32 percent back pursuing separation. Support for the separation option has declined from earlier 2026 readings. The provincial question preempts citizen-initiated petitions for a direct independence ballot, and the referendum’s non-binding nature on separation itself further limits its immediate impact. These factors have produced trader consensus that voters will reject the path to independence proceedings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
音量
$253,949終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Premier Danielle Smith’s government scheduled an October 19, 2026 referendum that asks Albertans whether the province should remain in Canada or begin the constitutional process toward a future binding vote on separation. Multiple polls conducted through mid-2026 show consistent majority support for remaining, with recent Ipsos and Angus Reid surveys indicating roughly 67-72 percent favor staying in Canada and only 18-32 percent back pursuing separation. Support for the separation option has declined from earlier 2026 readings. The provincial question preempts citizen-initiated petitions for a direct independence ballot, and the referendum’s non-binding nature on separation itself further limits its immediate impact. These factors have produced trader consensus that voters will reject the path to independence proceedings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$253,949終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Premier Danielle Smith’s government scheduled an October 19, 2026 referendum that asks Albertans whether the province should remain in Canada or begin the constitutional process toward a future binding vote on separation. Multiple polls conducted through mid-2026 show consistent majority support for remaining, with recent Ipsos and Angus Reid surveys indicating roughly 67-72 percent favor staying in Canada and only 18-32 percent back pursuing separation. Support for the separation option has declined from earlier 2026 readings. The provincial question preempts citizen-initiated petitions for a direct independence ballot, and the referendum’s non-binding nature on separation itself further limits its immediate impact. These factors have produced trader consensus that voters will reject the path to independence proceedings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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