Latest forecasts from services like AccuWeather and NiMet indicate a daytime high near 32°C at Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos, reflecting trader sentiment with 32°C at 31.5% implied probability closely trailed by 33°C (23%) and 31°C (17%). This positioning stems from recent shifts to cloudy conditions and scattered thunderstorms—hallmarks of May's rainy season onset, as predicted in NiMet's 2026 seasonal outlook—suppressing peak insolation after hotter days like 39°C on May 12. Differentiating factors include convective timing and sea breeze strength: early afternoon showers cap at 31°C, while delayed cloud breaks allow 33°C amid 80% humidity. Real-time airport observations today will clarify as models diverge on exact peak heating.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Lagos on May 14?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 14?
33°C 29%
32°C 28%
31°C 20%
34°C 12.2%
$15,013 거래량
$15,013 거래량
2026.05.14
28°C
<1%
29°C
6%
30°C
10%
31°C
20%
32°C
28%
33°C
29%
34°C
12%
35°C
8%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 29%
32°C 28%
31°C 20%
34°C 12.2%
$15,013 거래량
$15,013 거래량
2026.05.14
28°C
$1,514 거래량
<1%
29°C
$773 거래량
6%
30°C
$800 거래량
10%
31°C
$411 거래량
20%
32°C
$756 거래량
28%
33°C
$933 거래량
29%
34°C
$1,242 거래량
12%
35°C
$724 거래량
8%
36°C
$1,940 거래량
1%
37°C or higher
$2,911 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from services like AccuWeather and NiMet indicate a daytime high near 32°C at Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos, reflecting trader sentiment with 32°C at 31.5% implied probability closely trailed by 33°C (23%) and 31°C (17%). This positioning stems from recent shifts to cloudy conditions and scattered thunderstorms—hallmarks of May's rainy season onset, as predicted in NiMet's 2026 seasonal outlook—suppressing peak insolation after hotter days like 39°C on May 12. Differentiating factors include convective timing and sea breeze strength: early afternoon showers cap at 31°C, while delayed cloud breaks allow 33°C amid 80% humidity. Real-time airport observations today will clarify as models diverge on exact peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
거래량
$15,013종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from services like AccuWeather and NiMet indicate a daytime high near 32°C at Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos, reflecting trader sentiment with 32°C at 31.5% implied probability closely trailed by 33°C (23%) and 31°C (17%). This positioning stems from recent shifts to cloudy conditions and scattered thunderstorms—hallmarks of May's rainy season onset, as predicted in NiMet's 2026 seasonal outlook—suppressing peak insolation after hotter days like 39°C on May 12. Differentiating factors include convective timing and sea breeze strength: early afternoon showers cap at 31°C, while delayed cloud breaks allow 33°C amid 80% humidity. Real-time airport observations today will clarify as models diverge on exact peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$15,013종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETLatest forecasts from services like AccuWeather and NiMet indicate a daytime high near 32°C at Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos, reflecting trader sentiment with 32°C at 31.5% implied probability closely trailed by 33°C (23%) and 31°C (17%). This positioning stems from recent shifts to cloudy conditions and scattered thunderstorms—hallmarks of May's rainy season onset, as predicted in NiMet's 2026 seasonal outlook—suppressing peak insolation after hotter days like 39°C on May 12. Differentiating factors include convective timing and sea breeze strength: early afternoon showers cap at 31°C, while delayed cloud breaks allow 33°C amid 80% humidity. Real-time airport observations today will clarify as models diverge on exact peak heating.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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