Latest ECMWF, GFS, and IMGW model ensembles converge on a high temperature of 17–19°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport today, driving trader consensus with 40% implied probability on 18°C, reflecting partial cloud breaks under a weak high-pressure ridge following yesterday's cooler 11–14°C peak amid low clouds and showers. Persistent stratus layers limit solar heating potential despite light southerly flow, while brief clearing could marginally boost afternoon maxima toward 19°C; climatological mid-May averages align closely at 18–19°C. Uncertainty stems from cloud cover variability and isolated precipitation risks, with real-time hourly observations through peak heating (2–5 PM local) poised to refine outcomes as the market nears resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 14?
18°C 45%
19°C 31%
17°C 25%
20°C 2.6%
$16,205 거래량
$16,205 거래량
2026.05.14
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
25%
18°C
45%
19°C
31%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 45%
19°C 31%
17°C 25%
20°C 2.6%
$16,205 거래량
$16,205 거래량
2026.05.14
13°C or below
$1,035 거래량
<1%
14°C
$1,470 거래량
<1%
15°C
$1,652 거래량
<1%
16°C
$1,300 거래량
1%
17°C
$1,750 거래량
25%
18°C
$1,830 거래량
45%
19°C
$1,397 거래량
31%
20°C
$1,588 거래량
3%
21°C
$1,002 거래량
1%
22°C
$1,738 거래량
<1%
23°C or higher
$1,454 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF, GFS, and IMGW model ensembles converge on a high temperature of 17–19°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport today, driving trader consensus with 40% implied probability on 18°C, reflecting partial cloud breaks under a weak high-pressure ridge following yesterday's cooler 11–14°C peak amid low clouds and showers. Persistent stratus layers limit solar heating potential despite light southerly flow, while brief clearing could marginally boost afternoon maxima toward 19°C; climatological mid-May averages align closely at 18–19°C. Uncertainty stems from cloud cover variability and isolated precipitation risks, with real-time hourly observations through peak heating (2–5 PM local) poised to refine outcomes as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
거래량
$16,205종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF, GFS, and IMGW model ensembles converge on a high temperature of 17–19°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport today, driving trader consensus with 40% implied probability on 18°C, reflecting partial cloud breaks under a weak high-pressure ridge following yesterday's cooler 11–14°C peak amid low clouds and showers. Persistent stratus layers limit solar heating potential despite light southerly flow, while brief clearing could marginally boost afternoon maxima toward 19°C; climatological mid-May averages align closely at 18–19°C. Uncertainty stems from cloud cover variability and isolated precipitation risks, with real-time hourly observations through peak heating (2–5 PM local) poised to refine outcomes as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$16,205종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETLatest ECMWF, GFS, and IMGW model ensembles converge on a high temperature of 17–19°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport today, driving trader consensus with 40% implied probability on 18°C, reflecting partial cloud breaks under a weak high-pressure ridge following yesterday's cooler 11–14°C peak amid low clouds and showers. Persistent stratus layers limit solar heating potential despite light southerly flow, while brief clearing could marginally boost afternoon maxima toward 19°C; climatological mid-May averages align closely at 18–19°C. Uncertainty stems from cloud cover variability and isolated precipitation risks, with real-time hourly observations through peak heating (2–5 PM local) poised to refine outcomes as the market nears resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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