The retirement of Republican incumbent John James to pursue the Michigan governorship has opened the MI-10 seat, a Macomb County-based district with a modest Republican tilt that Trump carried in recent cycles. This dynamic has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders with notable fundraising and early polling strength against leading Republican Michael Bouchard, whose own primary field remains competitive ahead of the August 4 contests. Trader consensus assigns Democrats the higher implied probability, reflecting the absence of an incumbent advantage, candidate quality assessments, and the broader 2026 House map environment, though the general election on November 3 remains subject to turnout patterns and final nominee matchups in this competitive battleground.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
71%
Republican Party
36%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$758 거래량
71%
Republican Party
$268 거래량
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of Republican incumbent John James to pursue the Michigan governorship has opened the MI-10 seat, a Macomb County-based district with a modest Republican tilt that Trump carried in recent cycles. This dynamic has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders with notable fundraising and early polling strength against leading Republican Michael Bouchard, whose own primary field remains competitive ahead of the August 4 contests. Trader consensus assigns Democrats the higher implied probability, reflecting the absence of an incumbent advantage, candidate quality assessments, and the broader 2026 House map environment, though the general election on November 3 remains subject to turnout patterns and final nominee matchups in this competitive battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
거래량
$1,026종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of Republican incumbent John James to pursue the Michigan governorship has opened the MI-10 seat, a Macomb County-based district with a modest Republican tilt that Trump carried in recent cycles. This dynamic has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders with notable fundraising and early polling strength against leading Republican Michael Bouchard, whose own primary field remains competitive ahead of the August 4 contests. Trader consensus assigns Democrats the higher implied probability, reflecting the absence of an incumbent advantage, candidate quality assessments, and the broader 2026 House map environment, though the general election on November 3 remains subject to turnout patterns and final nominee matchups in this competitive battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,026종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of Republican incumbent John James to pursue the Michigan governorship has opened the MI-10 seat, a Macomb County-based district with a modest Republican tilt that Trump carried in recent cycles. This dynamic has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders with notable fundraising and early polling strength against leading Republican Michael Bouchard, whose own primary field remains competitive ahead of the August 4 contests. Trader consensus assigns Democrats the higher implied probability, reflecting the absence of an incumbent advantage, candidate quality assessments, and the broader 2026 House map environment, though the general election on November 3 remains subject to turnout patterns and final nominee matchups in this competitive battleground.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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